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The effects of the so-called "refugee crisis" of 2015-16 continue to dominate the political agenda in Europe. Migration flows were sudden and unexpected, leaving governments unprepared and exposing significant shortcomings in the field of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-25 Marcello Carammia , Stefano Maria Iacus , Teddy Wilkin

When modeling sub-national mortality rates, it is important to incorporate any possible correlation among sub-populations to improve forecast accuracy. Moreover, forecasts at the sub-national level should aggregate consistently across the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

UN migration data and Hofstede's six cultural dimensions make it possible to find a connection between migration patterns and culture from a longterm perspective. Migrant patterns have been studied from the perspective of both immigrants…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Tomáš Evan , Eva Fišerová , Aneta Elgnerová

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Mixture models are one of the most widely used statistical tools when dealing with data from heterogeneous populations. This paper considers the long-standing debate over finite mixture and infinite mixtures and brings the two modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-23 Raffaele Argiento , Maria De Iorio

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Due to its significance in the recommendation system and community operations, user migration has garnered the interest of cyber-demography experts from numerous disciplines. However, contemporary research frequently overlooks the theory…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-04 FangYiKuang Ding , Yang Li

One of the most fundamental concepts of evolutionary dynamics is the "fixation" probability, i.e. the probability that a mutant spreads through the whole population. Most natural communities are geographically structured into habitats…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-01 Bahram Houchmandzadeh , Marcel Vallade

Tracking the spread of infectious disease during a pandemic has posed a great challenge to the governments and health sectors on a global scale. To facilitate informed public health decision-making, the concerned parties usually rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Tejasv Bedi , Yanxun Xu , Qiwei Li

This survey focuses on the most important aspects of the mathematical theory of population genetic models of selection and migration between discrete niches. Such models are most appropriate if the dispersal distance is short compared to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-13 Reinhard Bürger

We address the problem of defining a network graph on a large collection of classes. Each class is comprised of a collection of data points, sampled in a non i.i.d. way, from some unknown underlying distribution. The application we consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-04 Alexander Cloninger , Brita Roy , Carley Riley , Harlan M. Krumholz

Time evolutions of number of cities, population of cities, world population, and size distribution of present languages are studied in terms of a new model, where population of each city increases by a random rate and decreases by a random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-27 Caglar Tuncay

The hierarchical and recursive expressive capability of rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. On the other hand, such hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

The evolution of global income distribution from 1988 to 2018 is analyzed using purchasing power parity exchange rates and well-established statistical distributions. This research proposes the use of two separate distributions to more…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 J. D. A. Islas-García , M. del Castillo-Mussot , Marcelo B. Ribeiro

We consider a branching process with Poissonian immigration where individuals have inheritable types. At rate theta, new individuals singly enter the total population and start a new population which evolves like a supercritical,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-02 Mathieu Richard

We present global convergence rates for a line-search method which is based on random first-order models and directions whose quality is ensured only with certain probability. We show that in terms of the order of the accuracy, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Coralia Cartis , Katya Scheinberg

In 2012 the world's population exceeded 7 billion, and since 2008 the number of individuals living in urban areas has surpassed that of rural areas. This is the result of an overall increase of life expectancy in many countries that has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-14 Filippo Simini , Charlotte James

Introduced in its contemporary form by George Kingsley Zipf in 1946, but with roots that go back to the work of Gaspard Monge in the 18th century, the gravity law is the prevailing framework to predict population movement, cargo shipping…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-20 Filippo Simini , Marta C. González , Amos Maritan , Albert-László Barabási