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Related papers: A Probabilistic Approach to Risk Mapping for Mt. E…

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Understanding past volcanic eruptions is essential to improve the resilience of societies to future events and to establish appropriate response plans. For volcanoes which are not the most active (one eruption every 30 yrs or less),…

Risks and damages associated with lava flows propagation (for instance the most recent Etna eruptions) require a quantitative description of this phenomenon and a reliable forecasting of lava flow paths. Due to the high complexity of these…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Antonio Costa , Giovanni Macedonio

Volcanic seismicity at Mt. Etna is studied. It is found that the associated stochastic process exhibits a subdiffusive phenomenon. The jump probability distribution well obeys an exponential law, whereas the waiting-time distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

129 Long Period (LP) events, divided into two families of similar events, were recorded by the 50 stations deployed on Mount Etna in the second half of June 2008. During this period lava was flowing from a lateral fracture after a summit…

A comparative study is performed on volcanic seismicities at Icelandic volcano, Eyjafjallaj\"okull, and Mt. Etna in Sicily from the viewpoint of complex systems science, and the discovery of remarkable similarities between them is reported.…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Volcano eruption forecast remains a challenging and controversial problem despite the fact that data from volcano monitoring significantly increased in quantity and quality during the last decades.This study uses pattern recognition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 J. -R. Grasso , I. Zaliapin

We present a shallow, isothermal, Newtonian model for the transient interaction of lava flows with topography. Numerical integrations and simple mathematical approximations are deployed to quantify how topography controls lava thicknesses…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-05 Jack M. Saville , Edward M. Hinton , Herbert E. Huppert

On 5 July 2014, an eruptive fissure opened on the eastern flank of Etna volcano (Italy) at ~3.000 m a.s.l. Strombolian activity and lava effusion occurred simultaneously at two neighbouring vents. In the following weeks, eruptive activity…

Early detection of volcanic eruptions is of major importance for protecting human life. Ground deformation and changes in seismicity, geochemistry, petrology, and gravimetry are used to assess volcanic activity before eruptions. Studies on…

Understanding the duration of past, on-going and future volcanic eruptions is an important scientific goal and a key societal need. We present a new methodology for forecasting the duration of on-going and future lava dome eruptions based…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-09 Robert L. Wolpert , Sarah E. Ogburn , Eliza S. Calder

We report the direct observation of a peculiar lava channel that was formed near the base of a parasitic cone during the 2001 eruption on Mount Etna. Erosive processes by flowing lava are commonly attributed to thermal erosion. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Carmelo Ferlito , Jens Siewert

The Campi Flegrei volcanic field (Italy) poses very high risk to the highly urbanized Neapolitan area. Eruptive history was dominated by explosive activity producing pyroclastic currents (PDCs; (Proclastic Density Currents) ranging in scale…

The probability distribution of inter-event time (IET) between two consecutive earthquakes is a measure for the uncertainty in the occurrence time of earthquakes in a region of interest. It is well known that the IET distribution for…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-12 Sumanta Kundu , Anca Opris , Yosuke Aoki , Takahiro Hatano

New mechanism of imbalance between magma column and fluid volume, accumulated in the magmatic system, is considered as a driving force of the volcanic eruption. Conditions of eruption based on this mechanism are used to explain main…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-05-28 Andrei Nechayev

The M6.0 earthquakes recurrence times, Tr, exhibit high variability from 40 to 1500 years, with the southern Corinth Rift fault segments reaching values up to 350 years and their antithetic ones ranging from 400 to 1500 years. The fault…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-06 C. Kourouklas , P. Bonatis , E. Papadimitriou , V. Karakostas

The seismic potential maps for Greece, particularly for the years 2005 and 2010 (end of 2009), have been calculated following the methodology of the "lithospheric seismic energy flow model". The compiled, for the year 2005, map is compared…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-01-12 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos

Since the seventies, several reconstruction techniques have been proposed, and are currently used, to extrapolate and quantify eruptive parameters from sampled deposit datasets. Discrete numbers of tephra ground loadings or stratigraphic…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-09-02 A. Spanu , M. de' Michieli Vitturi , S. Barsotti

Lava emplacement is a complex physical phenomenon, affected by several factors. These include, but are not limited to features of the terrain, the lava settling process, the effusion rate or total erupted volume, and the probability of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-04 Moritz Sallermann , Amrita Goswami , Alejandro Peña-Torres , Rohit Goswami

Volcanic tremor is key to our understanding of active magmatic systems but, due to its complexity, there is still a debate concerning its origins and how it can be used to characterize eruptive dynamics. In this study we leverage machine…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 C. X. Ren , A. Peltier , V. Ferrazzini , B. Rouet-Leduc , P. A. Johnson , F. Brenguier

Volcanic activity on Mars peaked during the Noachian and Hesperian periods but has continued since then in isolated locales. Elysium Planitia hosts numerous young, fissure-fed flood lavas with ages ranging from approximately 500 to 2.5…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 David G. Horvath , Pranabendu Moitra , Christopher W. Hamilton , Robert A. Craddock , Jeffrey C. Andrews-Hanna
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