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In traffic flow modeling, incorporating uncertainty is crucial for accurately capturing the complexities of real-world scenarios. In this work we focus on kinetic models of traffic flow, where a key step is to design effective numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Elisa Iacomini , Lorenzo Pareschi

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

In this work, we study the approximation of expected values of functional quantities on the solution of a stochastic differential equation (SDE), where we replace the Monte Carlo estimation with the evaluation of a deep neural network. Once…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth , Martin Simon

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are indispensable when sampling from a complex, high-dimensional distribution by a conventional method is intractable. Even though MCMC is a powerful tool, it is also hard to control and tune in…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sascha Holl , Gurprit Singh , Hans-Peter Seidel

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

We briefly review the principles, mathematical bases, numerical shortcuts and applications of fast random walk (FRW) algorithms. This Monte Carlo technique allows one to simulate individual trajectories of diffusing particles in order to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-05-01 Denis Grebenkov

Recent years have seen a growing interest in the thermodynamic cost of dissipative structures formed by active particles. Given the strong finite-size effects of such systems, it is essential to develop efficient numerical approaches that…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-03-24 Ki-Won Kim , Euijoon Kwon , Yongjoo Baek

Particle methods based on evolving the spatial derivatives of the solution were originally introduced to simulate reaction-diffusion processes, inspired by vortex methods for the Navier--Stokes equations. Such methods, referred to as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi , Russel E. Caflisch

The pricing of financial derivatives, which requires massive calculations and close-to-real-time operations under many trading and arbitrage scenarios, were largely infeasible in the past. However, with the advancement of modern computing,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-18 Wei-Cheng Chen , Wei-Ho Chung

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo simulation method for analysing multi-scale physical systems via a hierarchy of coarse-grained representations, to obtain numerically-exact results, at the most detailed level. We apply the method to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-04 Paul B. Rohrbach , Hideki Kobayashi , Robert Scheichl , Nigel B. Wilding , Robert L. Jack

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

This paper proposes an eigenvalue-based small-sample approximation of the celebrated Markov Chain Monte Carlo that delivers an invariant steady-state distribution that is consistent with traditional Monte Carlo methods. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Irene Aldridge

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for large-scale sampling problems that often arise in data science. We propose Monte Carlo algorithms based on the discretizations of $P$-th order Langevin dynamics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Thanh Dang , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Mohammad Rafiqul Islam , Nian Yao , Lingjiong Zhu

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

Sampling from multimodal distributions is a challenging task in scientific computing. When a distribution has an exact symmetry between the modes, direct jumps among them can accelerate the samplings significantly. However, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Lexing Ying

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

We develop a new Monte Carlo method that solves hyperbolic transport equations with stiff terms, characterized by a (small) scaling parameter. In particular, we focus on systems which lead to a reduced problem of parabolic type in the limit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-01 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Samaey

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used to infer the parameters of discrete-state continuous-time Markov networks. In this work, we focus on models that are governed by the Chemical Master Equation (the CME). Whilst originally…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-10 Christopher Lester

Stochastic collocation methods for approximating the solution of partial differential equations with random input data (e.g., coefficients and forcing terms) suffer from the curse of dimensionality whereby increases in the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-23 Aretha L. Teckentrup , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Max Gunzburger

Monte Carlo integration is a powerful tool for scientific and statistical computation, but faces significant challenges when the integrand is a multi-modal distribution, even when the mode locations are known. This work introduces novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Fei Ding , Shiyuan He , David E. Jones , Xiao-Li Meng
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