English

Fast Monte-Carlo

Econometrics 2026-05-05 v1 Data Structures and Algorithms Statistics Theory Pricing of Securities Risk Management Statistics Theory

Abstract

This paper proposes an eigenvalue-based small-sample approximation of the celebrated Markov Chain Monte Carlo that delivers an invariant steady-state distribution that is consistent with traditional Monte Carlo methods. The proposed eigenvalue-based methodology reduces the number of paths required for Monte Carlo from as many as 1,000,000 to as few as 10 (depending on the simulation time horizon TT), and delivers comparable, distributionally robust results, as measured by the Wasserstein distance. The proposed methodology also produces a significant variance reduction in the steady-state distribution.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.02085,
  title  = {Fast Monte-Carlo},
  author = {Irene Aldridge},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.02085},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

12 pages, originally published in the proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference 2025

R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:47:46.191Z