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For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

Although stochastic optimization is central to modern machine learning, the precise mechanisms underlying its success, and in particular, the precise role of the stochasticity, still remain unclear. Modelling stochastic optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

The tandem fluid queueing model is a useful tool for performance analysis and control design for a variety of transportation systems. In this article, we study the joint impact of stochastic capacity and spillback on the long-time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Li Jin , Saurabh Amin

Complex networks in different areas exhibit degree distributions with heavy upper tail. A preferential attachment mechanism in a growth process produces a graph with this feature. We herein investigate a variant of the simple preferential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Angelica Pachon , Laura Sacerdote , Shuyi Yang

Beck et al. (2013) introduced a new distribution class J which contains many heavy-tailed and light-tailed distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump. Using a simple transformation which maps heavy-tailed distributions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang

Motivated by seminal paper of Kozlov et al.(1975) we consider in this paper a branching process with a geometric offspring distribution parametrized by random success probability $A$ and immigration equals $1$ in each generation. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski

A model of homogeneously driven dissipative system, consisting of a collection of $N$ particles that are characterized by only their velocities, is considered. Adopting a discrete time dynamics, at each time step, a pair of velocities is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-30 V. V. Prasad , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

The big jump principle is a well established mathematical result for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables extracted from a fat tailed distribution. It states that the tail of the distribution of the sum is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-10 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

In this note, we apply Stein's method to analyze the performance of general load balancing schemes in the many-server heavy-traffic regime. In particular, consider a load balancing system of $N$ servers and the distance of arrival rate to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Xingyu Zhou , Ness Shroff

A maximum entropy framework based on Tsallis entropy is proposed to depict long tail behavior of queue lengths in broadband networks. Queue length expression as measured in terms of number of packets involves Hurwitz-zeta function. When the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-01-13 Karmeshu , Shachi Sharma

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

This paper serves as a companion to "Asymptotic Product-form Steady-state for Multiclass Queueing Networks with SBP Service Policies in Multi-scale Heavy Traffic." In this short paper, we illustrate the main results of the main paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Jim Dai , Dongyan Huo

We are concerned with an $M/M$-type join the shortest queue ($M/M$-JSQ for short) with $k$ parallel queues for an arbitrary positive integer $k$, where the servers may be heterogeneous. We are interested in the tail asymptotic of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Masahiro Kobayashi , Yutaka Sakuma , Masakiyo Miyazawa

In this paper, we establish the precise asymptotic behaviors of the tail probability and the transition density of a large class of isotropic L\'evy processes when the scaling order is between 0 and 2 including 2. We also obtain the precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Panki Kim , Ante Mimica