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The fluid model has proven to be one of the most effective tools for the analysis of stochastic queueing networks, specifically for the analysis of stability. It is known that stability of a fluid model implies positive (Harris) recurrence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Gamarnik , John Hasenbein

The areas under workload process and under queuing process in a single server queue over the busy period have many applications not only in queuing theory but also in risk theory or percolation theory. We focus here on the tail behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-08 Rafal Kulik , Zbigniew Palmowski

The busy period for a queue is cast as the area swept under the random walk until it first returns to zero, $B$. Encompassing non-i.i.d. increments, the large-deviations asymptotics of $B$ is addressed, under the assumption that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

Randomized load-balancing algorithms play an important role in improving performance in large-scale networks at relatively low computational cost. A common model of such a system is a network of $N$ parallel queues in which incoming jobs…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Pooja Agarwal , Kavita Ramanan

The emergence of heavy-tailed statistics in complex systems is conventionally attributed to non-local stochastic jumps or non-Markovian memory. Here, we present a one-dimensional random walk where power-law behaviors arise instead from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-25 Henrique S. Lima , Evaldo M. F. Curado

In this paper, we consider a two-dimensional sticky Brownian motion. Sticky Brownian motions can be viewed as time-changed semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions, which find applications in many areas including queueing theory and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Hongshuai Dai , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We construct an example of a continuous centered random process with light tails of finite-dimensional distribution but with heavy tail of maximum distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the asymptotic behaviour of stationary densities of one-dimensional random diffeomorphisms, at the boundaries of their support, which correspond to deterministic fixed points of extremal diffeomorphisms. In particular, we show how…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Guillermo Olicón-Méndez , Martin Rasmussen

When the arrival processes are Poisson, queueing networks are well-understood in terms of the product-form structure of the number of jobs $N_i$ at the individual queues; much less is known about the waiting time $W$ across the whole…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Florin Ciucu , Sima Mehri

We analyse circumstances in which bifurcation-driven jumps in AI systems are associated with emergent heavy-tailed outcome distributions. By analysing how a control parameter's random fluctuations near a catastrophic threshold generate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Elija Perrier

We study a system of coalescing continuous-time random walks starting from every site on $\mathbb{Z}$, where the jump increments lie in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable distribution with $\alpha\in(0,1]$. We establish sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Jinjiong Yu

Many complex networks in natural and social phenomena have often been characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, due to rapidly growing size of network data and concerns on privacy issues about using these data, it becomes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Young-Ho Eom , Hang-Hyun Jo

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Inspired by the work of Atar and Miyazawa [1] (2026) as well as applications to energy-saving problems, we are interested in the heavy-traffic limit of the stationary queue length distribution, which is not addressed in [1]. In this paper,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa , Yutaka Sakuma

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

Both empirical and theoretical investigations of scale-free network models have found that large degrees in a network exert an outsized impact on its structure. However, the tools used to infer the tail behavior of degree distributions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Daren B. H. Cline

We deal with a discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process for short) on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2\times S_0$, where $S_0$ is a finite set, and give a complete expression for the asymptotic decay function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Toshihisa Ozawa

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel
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