English
Related papers

Related papers: Electricity Market Forecasting via Low-Rank Multi-…

200 papers

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

In this paper we present a regression based model for day-ahead electricity spot prices. We estimate the considered linear regression model by the lasso estimation method. The lasso approach allows for many possible parameters in the model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Florian Ziel

An investor has to carefully select the location and size of new generation units it intends to build, since adding capacity in a market affects the profit from units this investor may already own. To capture this closed-loop…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Sina Taheri , Vassilis Kekatos , Harsha Veeramachaneni

The increasing interest in demand-side management (DSM) as part of the energy cost optimization calls for effective methods to determine representative electricity prices for energy optimization and scheduling investigations. We propose a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-15 Chrysanthi Papadimitriou , Jan C. Schulze , Alexander Mitsos

Large-scale streaming data are common in modern machine learning applications and have led to the development of online learning algorithms. Many fields, such as supply chain management, weather and meteorology, energy markets, and finance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch , Jonathan Berrisch , Florian Ziel

This work integrates Bayesian regime detection with conditional neural processes for 24-hour electricity price prediction in the German market. Our methodology integrates regime detection using a disentangled sticky hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

This study delves into the shift from centralized to decentralized approaches in the electricity industry, with a particular focus on how machine learning (ML) advancements play a crucial role in empowering renewable energy sources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mohammad Mohammadi , Ali Mohammadi

We propose and develop a new algorithm for trading wind energy in electricity markets, within an online learning and optimization framework. In particular, we combine a component-wise adaptive variant of the gradient descent algorithm with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Miguel Angel Muñoz , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour

The fast growth of communication technology within the concept of smart grids can provide data and control signals from/to all consumers in an online fashion. This could foster more participation for end-user customers. These types of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-11 Arman Alahyari , David Pozo

This paper introduces a deep reinforcement learning (RL) framework for optimizing the operations of power plants pairing renewable energy with storage. The objective is to maximize revenue from energy markets while minimizing storage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Lucien Werner , Peeyush Kumar

This paper presents a data-driven inverse optimization (IO) approach to recover the marginal offer prices of generators in a wholesale energy market. By leveraging underlying market-clearing processes, we establish a closed-form…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Zhirui Liang , Yury Dvorkin

The intraday (ID) electricity market has received an increasing attention in the recent EU electricity-market discussions. This is partly because the uncertainty in the underlying power system is growing and the ID market provides an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

The participants of the electricity market concern very much the market price evolution. Various technologies have been developed for price forecast. SVM (Support Vector Machine) has shown its good performance in market price forecast. Two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 C. Gao , E. Bompard , R. Napoli , Q. Wan

Electricity markets typically clear in two stages: a day-ahead market and a real-time market. In this paper, we propose market mechanisms for a two-stage multi-interval electricity market with energy storage, generators, and demand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Rajni Kant Bansal , Enrique Mallada , Patricia Hidalgo-Gonzalez

The emerging edge computing paradigm promises to deliver superior user experience and enable a wide range of Internet of Things (IoT) applications. In this work, we propose a new market-based framework for efficiently allocating resources…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Duong Tung Nguyen , Long Bao Le , Vijay Bhargava

Zonal pricing is a well-suited mechanism to incentivize grid-supporting behavior of profit-maximizing producers and consumers operating on a large-scale power system. In zonal electricity markets, local system operators create individual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lukas Kölsch , Lena Zellmann , Rishabh Vyas , Martin Pfeifer , Sören Hohmann

Accurately forecasting carbon prices is essential for informed energy market decision-making, guiding sustainable energy planning, and supporting effective decarbonization strategies. However, it remains challenging due to structural breaks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Runsheng Ren , Jing Li , Yanxiu Li , Shixun Huang , Jun Shen , Wanqing Li , John Le , Sheng Wang

Over the past years, distributed energy resources (DER) have been the object of many studies, which recognise and establish their emerging role in the future of power systems. However, the implementation of many scenarios and mechanism are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Jaysson Guerrero , Archie Chapman , Gregor Verbic

Minimizing the peak power consumption and matching demand to supply, under fixed threshold polices, are two key requirements for the success of the future electricity market. In this work, we consider dynamic pricing methods to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Zaid Almahmoud , Jacob Crandall , Khaled Elbassioni , Trung Thanh Nguyen , Mardavij Roozbehani