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In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

Multiplicative random cascade model naturally reproduces the intermittency or multifractality, which is frequently shown among hierarchical complex systems such as turbulence and financial markets. As described herein, we investigate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda , Joshin Murai

We provide an extension of the explicit solution of a mixed optimal stopping-optimal stochastic control problem introduced by Henderson and Hobson. The problem examines wether the optimal investment problem on a local martingale financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-13 Emilie Fabre , Guillaume Royer , Nizar Touzi

In the setting proposed by Hughston & Rafailidis (2005) we consider general interest rate models in the case of a Brownian market information filtration $(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\geq0}$. Let $X$ be a square-integrable…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-19 Lane P. Hughston , Francesco Mina

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

The most common stochastic volatility models such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), the Heston, the exponential OU (ExpOU) and Hull-White models define volatility as a Markovian process. In this work we check of the applicability of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 G. L. Buchbinder , K. M. Chistilin

We establish four structural results for signature volatility models. First, we prove global existence and uniqueness of strong solutions to the signature SDE $dS_t = S_t \langle \ell, \widehat{W}_t \rangle \, dB_t$ on the weighted tensor…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Akmal Xodarev

We study the problem of option replication under constant proportional transaction costs in models where stochastic volatility and jumps are combined to capture the market's important features. Assuming some mild condition on the jump size…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Thai Huu Nguyen , Serguei Pergamenschchikov

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

In statistics, assuming samples are independent is reasonable. However, this property can fail to hold for the features, a distinction that has led to several lines of work aiming to remove the latter assumption of independence present in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Simona Diaconu

We consider the stochastic volatility model obtained by adding a compound Hawkes process to the volatility of the well-known Heston model. A Hawkes process is a self-exciting counting process with many applications in mathematical finance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 David R. Baños , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Oriol Zamora Font

Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan

The correlated stochastic volatility models constitute a natural extension of the Black and Scholes-Merton framework: here the volatility is not a constant, but a stochastic process correlated with the price log-return one. At present,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Cisana , L. Fermi , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

In affine models, both the martingale property of stochastic exponentials and non-explosion of affine processes is characterized in terms of minimality of solutions to a system of generalized Riccati differential equations. This is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Eberhard Mayerhofer

This paper establishes a quantitative, uniform-in-time diffusion approximation for the joint law of a broad class of fully coupled multiscale stochastic systems. We derive a precise characterization of the limiting joint distribution as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Longjie Xie , Xicheng Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Time series datasets often contain heterogeneous signals, composed of both continuously changing quantities and discretely occurring events. The coupling between these measurements may provide insights into key underlying mechanisms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Shervin Safavi , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Akshay Balsubramani

This note develops shortly the theory of time-inhomogeneous additive functionals and is a useful support for the analysis of time-dependent Markov processes and related topics. It is a significant tool for the analysis of BSDEs in law. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-21 Adrien Barrasso , Francesco Russo
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