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This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

We consider the problem of testing the parametric form of the volatility for high frequency data. It is demonstrated that in the presence of microstructure noise commonly used tests do not keep the preassigned level and are inconsistent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Volatility forecasting is crucial to risk management and portfolio construction. One particular challenge of assessing volatility forecasts is how to construct a robust proxy for the unknown true volatility. In this work, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Weichen Wang , Ran An , Ziwei Zhu

In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-21 Ben-zhang Yang , Jia Yue , Ming-hui Wang , Nan-jing Huang

Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity but also reward model fit. In this note, we modify the stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

We discuss stochastic modeling of volatility persistence and anti-correlations in electricity spot prices, and for this purpose we present two mean-reverting versions of the multifractal random walk (MRW). In the first model the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Ola Løvsletten

In this work, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise. Specifically, we consider noisy discrete time observations from a stochastic differential equation and develop a novel computational method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We develop moment estimators for the parameters of affine stochastic volatility models. We first address the challenge of calculating moments for the models by introducing a recursive equation for deriving closed-form expressions for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Yan-Feng Wu , Xiangyu Yang , Jian-Qiang Hu

Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential L\'evy models nonparametrically. We discuss the efficient implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for L\'evy models of finite jump activity as well as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. The daily price jump at the opening is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-21 Cristin Buescu , Michael Taksar , Fatoumata J. Koné

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , K. Lee

In this paper we present a new method to compute the first-order approximation of the price of derivatives on futures in the context of multiscale stochastic volatility of Fouque \textit{et al.} (2011, CUP). It provides an alternative…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Yuri F. Saporito , Jorge P. Zubelli

We study the fair strike of a discrete variance swap for a general time-homogeneous stochastic volatility model. In the special cases of Heston, Hull-White and Schobel-Zhu stochastic volatility models we give simple explicit expressions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-03 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui

In this paper, we present a realized range-based multipower variation theory, which can be used to estimate return variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

Realized statistics based on high frequency returns have become very popular in financial economics. In recent years, different non-parametric estimators of the variation of a log-price process have appeared. These were developed by many…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Yacouba Samoura

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

This paper studies the joint role of long-memory dynamics,rough-volatility behavior, and persistence-based forecasting features in equity volatility modeling. We combine semiparametric long-memory estimation, rough-volatility diagnostics,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Akash Deep , Nicholas Appiah , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

We define a generalized index of jump activity, propose estimators of that index for a discretely sampled process and derive the estimators' properties. These estimators are applicable despite the presence of Brownian volatility in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen
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