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We study the symmetric simple exclusion process with Glauber dynamics. When the process starts from a nonequilibrium measure, we prove central limit theorems for the occupation time in dimension two, and sample path moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Linjie Zhao

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with a general square integrable semimartingale noise. A model selection adaptive procedure is proposed. Sharp non-asymptotic oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We compare the fluctuations in the velocity and in the fraction of time spent at a given position for minimal models of a passive and an active particle: an asymmetric random walker and a run-and-tumble particle in continuous time and on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-03 Emil Mallmin , Richard A Blythe , Martin R Evans

We consider particle systems in locally compact Abelian groups with particles moving according to a process with symmetric stationary independent increments and undergoing one and two levels of critical branching. We obtain long time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Don Dawson , L. G. Gorostiza , A. Wakolbinger

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

Our aim is to find sufficient conditions for weak convergence of stochastic integrals with respect to the state occupation measure of a Markov chain. First, we study properties of the state indicator function and the state occupation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 H. M. Jansen

We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Michel Benaïm , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

In this paper, we present the double smoothed nonparametric approach for infinitesimal conditional volatility of jump-diffusion model based on high frequency data. Under certain minimal conditions, we obtain the strong consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yuping Song

We investigate the distribution of occupation times for a particle undergoing a random walk among random energy traps and in the presence of a deterministic potential field $U^{{\rm det}}(x)$. When the distribution of energy traps is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S. Burov , E. Barkai

Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-25 Markus Reiß

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in additive, partially linear models for longitudinal/clustered data. We propose an estimation procedure via polynomial splines to estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Shujie Ma , Qiongxia Song , Li Wang

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In longitudinal and spatial studies, observations often demonstrate strong correlations that are stationary in time or distance lags, and the times or locations of these data being sampled may not be homogeneous. We propose a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Yehua Li , Naisyin Wang , Meeyoung Hong , Nancy D. Turner , Joanne R. Lupton , Raymond J. Carroll

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dY_{s}^{(1)}$% , where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta > 1-H$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Salwa Bajja , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Lauri Viitasaari

This article studies nonparametric methods to estimate the co-integrated volatility for multi-dimensional L\'evy processes with high frequency data. We construct a spectral estimator for the co-integrated volatility and prove minimax rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Katerina Papagiannouli
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