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We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

In this work we consider the \emph{infinite color urn model} associated with a bounded increment random walk on $\Zbold^d$. This model was first introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2013). We prove that the rate of convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

The diameter distribution of a given species of deciduous trees in mature, temperate zone forests is well approximated by a Gamma distribution. Here we give new experimental evidence for this conjecture by analyzing deciduous tree size data…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-17 Szabolcs Kelemen , Máté Józsa , Tibor Hartel , György Csóka , Zoltán Néda

Continuous-time random walks are generalisations of random walks frequently used to account for the consistent observations that many molecules in living cells undergo anomalous diffusion, i.e. subdiffusion. Here, we describe the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Hugues Berry , Thomas Lepoutre , Álvaro Mateos González

By the continuous mapping theorem, if a sequence of $d$-dimensional random vectors $(\mathbf{W}_n)_{n\geq1}$ converges in distribution to a multivariate normal random variable $\Sigma^{1/2}\mathbf{Z}$, then the sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Robert E. Gaunt

We consider an urn model with multiple drawing and random time-dependent addition matrix. The model is very general with respect to previous literature: the number of sampled balls at each time-step is random, the addition matrix has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Germana Minelli

Consider throwing $n$ balls at random into $m$ urns, each ball landing in urn $i$ with probability $p_i$. Let $S$ be the resulting number of singletons, i.e., urns containing just one ball. We give an error bound for the Kolmogorov distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-23 Mathew D. Penrose

In this paper we introduce a novel Bayesian data augmentation approach for estimating the parameters of the generalised logistic regression model. We propose a P\'olya-Gamma sampler algorithm that allows us to sample from the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Luciana Dalla Valle , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Rossini , Weixuan Zhu

We propose a class of models of random walks in a random environment where an exact solution can be given for a stationary distribution. The tool is the detailed balance equations.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 M. Gannon , E. Pechersky , Y. Suhov , A. Yambartsev

We consider the generalization of the P\'olya urn scheme with possibly infinite many colors as introduced in \cite{Th-Thesis, BaTH2014, BaTh2016, BaTh2017}. For countable many colors, we prove almost sure convergence of the urn…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Svante Janson , Debleena Thacker

Narayana numbers appear in many places in combinatorics and probability, and it is known that they are asymptotically normal. Using Stein's method of exchangeable pairs, we provide an error of approximation in total variation to a symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

We consider large uniform random trees where we fix for each vertex its degree and height. We prove, under natural conditions of convergence for the profile, that those trees properly renormalized converge. To this end, we study the paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie , Emmanuel Kammerer

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

We propose new generalized multivariate hypergeometric distributions, which extremely resemble the classical multivariate hypergeometric distributions. The proposed distributions are derived based on an urn model approach. In contrast to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-05 Xinjia Chen

Random walks with a general, nonlinear barrier have found recent applications ranging from reionization topology to refinements in the excursion set theory of halos. Here, we derive the first-crossing distribution of random walks with a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jun Zhang , Lam Hui

We introduce two abstract theorems that reduce a variety of complex exponential distributional approximation problems to the construction of couplings. These are applied to obtain new rates of convergence with respect to the Wasserstein and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin

We define and prove limit results for a class of dominant P\'olya sequences, which are randomly reinforced urn processes with color-specific random weights and unbounded number of possible colors. Under fairly mild assumptions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Hristo Sariev , Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

We answer Problem 11.1 of Janson arXiv:1803.04207 on P\'olya urns associated with stable random walk. Our proof use neither martingales nor trees, but an approximation with a differential equation.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie

This survey article discusses the main concepts and techniques of Stein's method for distributional approximation by the normal, Poisson, exponential, and geometric distributions, and also its relation to concentration inequalities. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-12 Nathan Ross

We exploit a bijection between plane recursive trees and Stirling permutations; this yields the equivalence of some results previously proven separately by different methods for the two types of objects as well as some new results. We also…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-03-10 Svante Janson