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Entropic tilting (ET) is a Bayesian decision-analytic method for constraining distributions to satisfy defined targets or bounds for sets of expectations. This report recapitulates the foundations and basic theory of ET for conditioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Emily Tallman , Mike West

This paper introduce the notion of output contraction that expands the contraction notion to the time-varying nonlinear systems with output. It pertains to the systems' property that any pair of outputs from the system converge to each…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-12 Hao Yin , Bayu Jayawardhana , Stephan Trenn

Many forms of dependence manifest themselves over time, with behavior of variables in dynamical systems as a paradigmatic example. This paper studies temporal dependence in dynamical systems from a logical perspective, by enriching a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Alexandru Baltag , Johan van Benthem , Dazhu Li

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

We prove two lower bounds for stopping times of sequential tests between general composite nulls and alternatives. The first lower bound is for the setting where the type-1 error level $\alpha$ approaches zero, and equals $\log(1/\alpha)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper proposes a unified approach for studying global exponential stability of a general class of switched systems described by time-varying nonlinear functional differential equations. Some new delay-independent criteria of global…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-16 Nguyen Khoa Son , Le Van Ngoc

In this paper, we examine the fundamental performance limitations in the control of stochastic dynamical systems; more specifically, we derive generic $\mathcal{L}_p$ bounds that hold for any causal (stabilizing) controllers and any…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-07 Song Fang , Quanyan Zhu

We extend Robins' theory of causal inference for complex longitudinal data to the case of continuously varying as opposed to discrete covariates and treatments. In particular we establish versions of the key results of the discrete theory:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 R. D. Gill , J. M. Robins

A class of generalized definitions of expectation value is often employed in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics for complex systems. Here, the necessary and sufficient condition is presented for such a class to be stable under small…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-21 Aziz El Kaabouchi , Sumiyoshi Abe

Given a bounded class of functions G and independent random variables X1, . . . , Xn, we provide an upper bound for the expectation of the supremum of the empirical process over elements of G having a small variance. Our bound applies in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yannick Baraud

In this paper, we extend the G-expectation theory to infinite dimensions. Such notions as a covariation set of G-normal distributed random variables, viscosity solution, a stochastic integral driven by G-Brownian motion are introduced and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Anton Ibragimov

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

Modeling a sequence of design steps, or a sequence of parameter settings, yields a sequence of dynamical systems. In many cases, such a sequence is intended to approximate a certain limit case. However, formally defining that limit turns…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-07-30 P. J. L. Cuijpers

This article develops a method to construct the optimal sequential test for monitoring the changes in the distribution of finite observation sequences with a general dependence structure. This method allows us to prove that different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Dong Han , Fugee Tsung , Jinguo Xian

Humans are often incapable of precisely identifying and implementing the desired control strategy in controlling unstable dynamical systems. That is, the operator of a dynamical system treats the current control effort as acceptable even if…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-06-21 Arkady Zgonnikov , Ihor Lubashevsky

The principal results of this contribution are the weak and strong limits of maxima of contracted stationary Gaussian random sequences. Due to the random contraction we introduce a modified Berman condition which is sufficient for the weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Enkelejd Hashorva , Zhichao Weng

In this paper, we address the stochastic representation problem in discrete time under (non-linear) g-expectation. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution, as well as a characterization of the solution. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Miryana Grigorova , Hanwu Li

In this paper, we deal with the problem of the stabilization in the sample-and-hold sense, by emulation of continuous-time, observer-based, global stabilizers. Fully nonlinear time-delay systems are studied. Sufficient conditions are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Mario Di Ferdinando , Pierdomenico Pepe

We develop an approach for solving one-sided optimal stopping problems in discrete time for general underlying Markov processes on the real line. The main idea is to transform the problem into an auxiliary problem for the ladder height…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

We consider a Nicholson's equation with multiple pairs of time-varying delays and nonlinear terms given by mixed monotone functions. Sufficient conditions for the permanence, local stability and global attractivity of its positive…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Teresa Faria , Henrique C. Prates
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