Related papers: Adaptive and minimax optimal estimation of the tai…
A common bottleneck in evaluating extremal performance measures is that, due to their very nature, tail data are often very limited. The conventional approach selects the best probability distribution from tail data using parametric…
We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…
We use the fitted Pareto law to construct an accompanying approximation of the excess distribution function. A selection rule of the location of the excess distribution function is proposed based on a stagewise lack-of-fit testing…
We discuss the problem of adaptive discrete-time signal denoising in the situation where the signal to be recovered admits a "linear oracle" -- an unknown linear estimate that takes the form of convolution of observations with a…
We consider stationary hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric modeling of the emission distributions. It has remained unknown until very recently that such models are identifiable. In this paper, we propose a new…
We propose a rate optimal estimator for the linear regression model on network data with interacted (unobservable) individual effects. The estimator achieves a faster rate of convergence $N$ compared to the standard estimators' $\sqrt{N}$…
We study in this paper the problem of least absolute deviation (LAD) regression for high-dimensional heavy-tailed time series which have finite $\alpha$-th moment with $\alpha \in (1,2]$. To handle the heavy-tailed dependent data, we…
We study the least squares regression function estimator over the class of real-valued functions on $[0,1]^d$ that are increasing in each coordinate. For uniformly bounded signals and with a fixed, cubic lattice design, we establish that…
A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…
We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…
In this paper, we consider estimators for an additive functional of $\phi$, which is defined as $\theta(P;\phi)=\sum_{i=1}^k\phi(p_i)$, from $n$ i.i.d. random samples drawn from a discrete distribution $P=(p_1,...,p_k)$ with alphabet size…
Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…
We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positive associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of…
In this paper, we study the problem of mean estimation under 1-bit communication constraints. We propose a novel adaptive mean estimator based solely on randomized threshold queries, where each 1-bit outcome indicates whether a given sample…
In recent years several attempts have been made to extend tail modelling towards the modal part of the data. Frigessi et al. (2002) introduced dynamic mixtures of two components with a weight function {\pi} = {\pi}(x) smoothly connecting…
In samples from a heavy-tailed distribution a second-order approximation is often use to approximate the tail function. Based on the parameters of the approximation, an optimal sample fraction can be estimated which is then used to estimate…
We consider the problem of estimating an unknown $n_1 \times n_2$ matrix $\mathbf{\theta^*}$ from noisy observations under the constraint that $\mathbf{\theta}^*$ is nondecreasing in both rows and columns. We consider the least squares…
We provide a statistical analysis of regularization-based continual learning on a sequence of linear regression tasks, with emphasis on how different regularization terms affect the model performance. We first derive the convergence rate…
This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…
We consider the problem of estimating the partition function $Z(\beta)=\sum_x \exp(\beta(H(x))$ of a Gibbs distribution with the Hamiltonian $H:\Omega\rightarrow\{0\}\cup[1,n]$. As shown in [Harris & Kolmogorov 2024], the log-ratio $q=\ln…