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We address the problem of policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes, and provide instance-dependent guarantees on the $\ell_\infty$-error under a generative model. We establish both asymptotic and non-asymptotic versions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-17 Koulik Khamaru , Ashwin Pananjady , Feng Ruan , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We consider the problem of estimating the structural function in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jan Johannes , Maik Schwarz

The input to the stochastic orienteering problem consists of a budget $B$ and metric $(V,d)$ where each vertex $v$ has a job with deterministic reward and random processing time (drawn from a known distribution). The processing times are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-05-12 Nikhil Bansal , Viswanath Nagarajan

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

We consider the multivariate response regression problem with a regression coefficient matrix of low, unknown rank. In this setting, we analyze a new criterion for selecting the optimal reduced rank. This criterion differs notably from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Xin Bing , Marten Wegkamp

In this article we propose a locally adaptive strategy for estimating a function from its Exponential Radon Transform (ERT) data, without prior knowledge of the smoothness of functions that are to be estimated. We build a non-parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Anuj Abhishek , Sakshi Arya

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We develop algorithms for private stochastic convex optimization that adapt to the hardness of the specific function we wish to optimize. While previous work provide worst-case bounds for arbitrary convex functions, it is often the case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Hilal Asi , Daniel Levy , John Duchi

The Hill estimator is often used to infer the power behavior in tails of experimental distribution functions. This estimator is known to produce bad results in certain situations which have lead to the so-called Hill horror plots. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Jean Nuyts

In this paper, we consider adaptive estimation of an unknown planar compact, convex set from noisy measurements of its support function on a uniform grid. Both the problem of estimating the support function at a point and that of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Tony Cai , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuting Wei

It is well-known that random-coefficient AR(1) process can have long memory depending on the index $\beta$ of the tail distribution function of the random coefficient, if it is a regularly varying function at unity. We discuss estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytaute Pilipauskaite , Donatas Surgailis

We investigate the application of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm for the estimation of tail probabilities of solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations evaluated at a given time, and of associated temporal averages. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelièvre

The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

This paper develops an efficient Monte Carlo method to estimate the tail probabilities of the ratio of the largest eigenvalue to the trace of the Wishart matrix, which plays an important role in multivariate data analysis. The estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu

Nonparametric contextual bandit is an important model of sequential decision making problems. Under $\alpha$-Tsybakov margin condition, existing research has established a regret bound of $\tilde{O}\left(T^{1-\frac{\alpha+1}{d+2}}\right)$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Puning Zhao , Rongfei Fan , Shaowei Wang , Li Shen , Qixin Zhang , Zong Ke , Tianhang Zheng

To achieve a greater general flexibility for modeling heavy-tailed bounded responses, a beta scale mixture model is proposed. Each member of the family is obtained by multiplying the scale parameter of the conditional beta distribution by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Arno Otto , Andriëtte Bekker , Johan Ferreira , Lebogang Rathebe

The problem of estimating the tail index from truncated data is addressed in Chakrabarty and Samorodnitsky (2009). In that paper, a sample based (and hence random) choice of k is suggested, and it is shown that the choice leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-23 Arijit Chakrabarty

We investigate the possibility of an incentive-compatible (IC, a.k.a. strategy-proof) mechanism for the classification of agents in a network according to their reviews of each other. In the $ \alpha $-classification problem we are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

We study the bias of the isotonic regression estimator. While there is extensive work characterizing the mean squared error of the isotonic regression estimator, relatively little is known about the bias. In this paper, we provide a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ran Dai , Hyebin Song , Rina Foygel Barber , Garvesh Raskutti
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