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We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

Sarmanov copulas offer a simple and tractable way to build multivariate distributions by perturbing the independence copula. They admit closed-form expressions for densities and many functionals of interest, making them attractive for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Christopher Blier-Wong

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

Consider the motion of a charged, point particle moving in the complement of a Poisson distribution of hard sphere scatterers in two dimensions under the effect of a fixed magnetic field. Building on, and extending a coupling method…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Christopher Lutsko , Balint Toth

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

We study the $\beta$ analogue of the nonintersecting Poisson random walks. We derive a stochastic differential equation of the Stieltjes transform of the empirical measure process, which can be viewed as a dynamical version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Jiaoyang Huang

Most Markov chain Monte Carlo methods operate in discrete time and are reversible with respect to the target probability. Nevertheless, it is now understood that the use of non-reversible Markov chains can be beneficial in many contexts. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery

A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-14 Erdinç Akyıldırım , Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

We are concerned with the absolute continuity of stationary distributions corresponding to some piecewise deterministic Markov process, being typically encountered in biological models. The process under investigation involves a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

The ground state pairing correlations in finite fermionic systems are described with a high degree of accuracy within a variational approach based on a combined coupled-cluster and particle-number-projected BCS ansatz. The flexibility of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-06-02 V. V. Baran , J. Dukelsky

A semi-Markov process method for obtaining general counting statistics for open quantum systems is extended to the scenario of resetting. The simultaneous presence of random resets and wave function collapses means that the quantum jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Fei Liu

When the number of particles is finite, the noncolliding Brownian motion (the Dyson model) and the noncolliding squared Bessel process are determinantal diffusion processes for any deterministic initial configuration $\xi=\sum_{j \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Makoto Katori , Hideki Tanemura

The main contribution of this paper is a strong converse result for $K$-hop distributed hypothesis testing against independence with multiple (intermediate) decision centers under a Markov condition. Our result shows that the set of type-II…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Mustapha Hamad , Michèle Wigger , Mireille Sarkiss

We study the binary classification problem for Poisson point processes, which are allowed to take values in a general metric space. The problem is tackled in two different ways: estimating nonparametricaly the intensity functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Liliana Forzani , Pamela Llop , Leonardo Moreno

The Reversible Jump algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian estimation and model selection. A generalized multiple-try version of this algorithm is proposed. The algorithm is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-14 S. Pandolfi , F. Bartolucci , N. Friel

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We consider continuous--time Markov kinetics with a finite number of states and a given positive equilibrium distribution P*. For an arbitrary probability distribution $P$ we study the possible right hand sides, dP/dt, of the Kolmogorov…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2013-01-14 A. N. Gorban

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

Generalized Brown-Resnick processes form a flexible class of stationary max-stable processes based on Gaussian random fields. With regard to applications fast and accurate simulation of these processes is an important issue. In fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Marco Oesting