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Pesin sets are measurable sets along which the behavior of a matrix cocycle above a measure preserving dynamical system is explicitly controlled. In uniformly hyper-bolic dynamics, we study how often points return to Pesin sets under…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-19 Sébastien Gouëzel , Luchezar Stoyanov

For Markov jump processes on irreducible networks with finite number of sites, we derive a general and explicit expression of the squared coefficient of variation for the net number of transitions from one site to a connected site in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-28 Alberto Garilli , Diego Frezzato

The Kontsevich-Soibelman wall-crossing formula is known to control the jumping behavior of BPS state counting indices in four-dimensional theories with $\mathcal{N}=2$ supersymmetry. The formula can take two equivalent forms: a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-09-22 Davide Gaiotto , Ahsan Khan

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

We investigate the second time scale of the metastable behavior of the reversible inclusion process in an extension of the study by [Bianchi, Dommers, and Giardin\`a, Electronic Journal of Probability, 22: 1-34, 2017], which presented the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Seonwoo Kim

A method for deriving accurate analytic approximations for Markovian open quantum systems was recently introduced in [F. Lucas and K. Hornberger, Phys. Rev. Lett. 110, 240401 (2013)]. Here, we present a detailed derivation of the underlying…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-03-10 Felix Lucas , Klaus Hornberger

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

We present a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm for Markov chain trajectories with proposals constructed in reverse time, which is advantageous when paths are conditioned to end in a rare set. The reverse time proposal distribution is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Dario Spano , Paul A. Jenkins

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

The purpose of this paper is to consider the exit-time problem for a finite-range Markov jump process, i.e, the distance the particle can jump is bounded independent of its location. Such jump diffusions are expedient models for anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Nathanial Burch , Marta D'Elia , R. B. Lehoucq

Non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo methods often outperform their reversible counterparts in terms of asymptotic variance of ergodic averages and mixing properties. Lifting the state-space (Chen et al., 1999; Diaconis et al., 2000) is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-22 Philippe Gagnon , Arnaud Doucet

We show that the empirical process associated with a system of weakly interacting diffusion processes exhibits a form of noise-induced metastability. The result is based on an analysis of the associated McKean--Vlasov free energy, which,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Rishabh S. Gvalani , André Schlichting

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

In Athreya, L\"ohr, Winter (2016), an invariance principle is stated for a class of strong Markov processes on tree-like metric measure spaces. It is shown that if the underlying spaces converge Gromov vaguely, then the processes converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Siva Athreya , Wolfgang Löhr , Anita Winter

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We consider systems of two specific piecewise linear homeomorphisms of the unit interval, so called the Alsed\`a-Misiurewicz systems, and investigate the basic properties of Markov chains which arise when these two transformations are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Klaudiusz Czudek

The classical models for irreversible diffusion-influenced reactions can be derived by introducing absorbing boundary conditions to over-damped continuous Brownian motion (BM) theory. As there is a clear corresponding stochastic process,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-13 Mauricio J. Del Razo , Hong Qian

We define the probability structure of a continuous-time time-homogeneous Markov jump process, on a finite graph, that represents the continuous-time counterpart of the so-called Ruelle-Bowen discrete-time random walk. It constitutes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon
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