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Halting a computer or biological virus outbreak requires a detailed understanding of the timing of the interactions between susceptible and infected individuals. While current spreading models assume that users interact uniformly in time,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Alexei Vazquez , Racz Balazs , Lukacs Andras , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Bursty dynamics of agents is shown to appear at criticality or in extended Griffiths phases, even in case of Poisson processes. I provide numerical evidence for power-law type of inter-communication time distributions by simulating the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-03 Géza Ódor

Spreading on networks is influenced by a number of factors including different parts of the inter-event time distribution (IETD), the topology of the network and non-stationarity. In order to understand the role of these factors we study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Dávid X. Horváth , János Kertész

In temporal networks, both the topology of the underlying network and the timings of interaction events can be crucial in determining how some dynamic process mediated by the network unfolds. We have explored the limiting case of the speed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-28 Mikko Kivelä , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

We study the effect of heterogeneous temporal activations on epidemic spreading in temporal networks. We focus on the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on activity-driven networks with burstiness. By using an activity-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-28 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Miguel A. Muñoz , Raffaella Burioni

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

In this paper, we aim to understand the transient dynamics of a susceptible-infected (SI) epidemic spreading process on a large network. The SI model has been largely overlooked in the literature, while it is naturally a better fit for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Chul-Ho Lee , Srinivas Tenneti , Do Young Eun

Interactions in time-varying complex systems are often very heterogeneous at the topological level (who interacts with whom) and at the temporal level (when interactions occur and how often). While it is known that temporal heterogeneities…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-21 Juan Ignacio Perotti , Hang-Hyun Jo , Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

Spreading dynamics has been considered to take place in temporal networks, where temporal interaction patterns between nodes show non-Poissonian bursty nature. The effects of inhomogeneous interevent times (IETs) on the spreading have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-18 Takayuki Hiraoka , Hang-Hyun Jo

In many complex systems studied in statistical physics, inter-arrival times between events such as solar flares, trades and neuron voltages follow a heavy-tailed distribution. The set of event times is fractal-like, being dense in some time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Katharina Hees , Smarak Nayak , Peter Straka

The concept of temporal networks provides a framework to understand how the interaction between system components changes over time. In empirical communication data, we often detect non-Poissonian, so-called bursty behavior in the activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Takayuki Hiraoka , Naoki Masuda , Aming Li , Hang-Hyun Jo

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of transmission, but it is nearly impossible to describe,…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-19 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

We study the susceptible-infected model with power-law waiting time distributions $P(\tau)\sim \tau^{-\alpha}$, as a model of spreading dynamics under heterogeneous human activity patterns. We found that the average number of new infections…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-03-09 Byungjoon Min , K. -I. Goh , Alexei Vazquez

Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Current models for opinion dynamics typically utilize a Poisson process for speaker selection, making the waiting time between events exponentially distributed. Human interaction tends to be bursty, though, having higher probabilities of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-28 Casey Doyle , Boleslaw Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

We construct the temporal network using the two-dimensional active particle systems which are described by the Vicsek model. The bursts of the interevent times for a specific pair of particles are investigated numerically. We find that for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-18 Wei Zhong , Youjin Deng , Daxing Xiong

We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Stefan Reimann

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng
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