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The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has called for fast advancement of new modelling strategies to estimate its unprecedented spread. Here, we introduce a model based on the fundamental SIR equations with a stochastic disorder by a random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

The interplay between the non-Hermitian skin effect and the imaginary gap of lossy lattices results in the edge burst, a boundary-induced dynamical phenomenon in which an exceptionally large portion of particle loss occurs at the edge.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-19 Yu-Min Hu , Wen-Tan Xue , Fei Song , Zhong Wang

Local diffusion coefficients in disordered systems such as spin glass systems and living cells are highly heterogeneous and may change over time. Such a time-dependent and spatially heterogeneous environment results in irreproducibility of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Takuma Akimoto , Eiji Yamamoto

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We study the out-of-equilibrium dynamics induced by quantum quenches in quadratic Hamiltonians featuring both short- and long-range interactions. The spreading of correlations in the presence of algebraic decaying interactions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-06 Lorenzo Cevolani , Giuseppe Carleo , Laurent Sanchez-Palencia

Infections diseases are marked by recovering time distributions which can be far from the exponential one associated with Markovian/Poisson processes, broadly applied in epidemic compartmental models. In the present work, we tackled this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

We study a stochastic system of $N$ interacting particles which models bimolecular chemical reaction-diffusion. In this model, each particle $i$ carries two attributes: the spatial location $X_t^i\in \mathbb{T}^d$, and the type $\Xi_t^i\in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Tau Shean Lim , Yulong Lu , James Nolen

We study the spreading of damage in the one-dimensional Ising model by means of the stochastic dynamics resulting from coupling the system and its replica by a family of algorithms that interpolate between the heat bath and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 T. Tome , E. Arashiro , J. R. Drugowich de Felicio , M. J. de Oliveira

We classify and predict the asymptotic dynamics of a class of swarming models. The model consists of a conservation equation in one dimension describing the movement of a population density field. The velocity is found by convolving the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 A. J. Leverentz , C. M. Topaz , A. J. Bernoff

We study reaction-diffusion particle systems with several interaction mechanisms. As the number of particles tends to infinity, the system admits a mean-field limit describing the bulk behaviour. We focus on determining the propagation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Matthieu Jonckheere , Seva Shneer

Models of spread processes over non-trivial networks are commonly motivated by modeling and analysis of biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks. However, identification of such models has not yet been explored in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Philip E. Pare , Ji Liu , Carolyn L. Beck , Barret E. Kirwan , Tamer Basar

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We introduce a class of two-parameter discrete dispersion models, obtained by combining convolution with a factorial tilting operation, similar to exponential dispersion models which combine convolution and exponential tilting. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Bent Jørgensen , Célestin C. Kokonendji

A particle that is immersed in a uniform temperature bath performs Brownian diffusion, as discussed by Einstein. But Sinai has realized that in a "random environment" the diffusion is suppressed. Follow-up works have pointed out that in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-22 Dekel Shapira , Doron Cohen

A thermodynamic approach to rapid phase transformations within a diffuse interface in a binary system is developed. Assuming an extended set of independent thermodynamic variables formed by the union of the classic set of slow variables and…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-10 Peter Galenko , David Jou

Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-14 Chris. J. Oates

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou
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