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Learning the unknown causal parameters of a linear structural causal model is a fundamental task in causal analysis. The task, known as the problem of identification, asks to estimate the parameters of the model from a combination of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Julian Dörfler , Benito van der Zander , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liskiewicz

In high-stakes systems such as healthcare, it is critical to understand the causal reasons behind unusual events, such as sudden changes in patient's health. Unveiling the causal reasons helps with quick diagnoses and precise treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yiling Kuang , Chao Yang , Yang Yang , Shuang Li

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

A fundamental assumption made by classical AI planners is that there is no uncertainty in the world: the planner has full knowledge of the conditions under which the plan will be executed and the outcome of every action is fully…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 L. Pryor , G. Collins

This paper reviews developments in statistics for spatial point processes obtained within roughly the last decade. These developments include new classes of spatial point process models such as determinantal point processes, models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Bisimulation metric is a robust behavioural semantics for probabilistic processes. Given any SOS specification of probabilistic processes, we provide a method to compute for each operator of the language its respective metric…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2014-08-08 Daniel Gebler , Simone Tini

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

We study a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd x E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that is switched at the jump times of the discrete coordinate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Michel Benaïm , Stéphane Le Borgne , Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt

We show that the mass matrix derived from finite elements can be effectively used as a preconditioner for iteratively solving the linear system arising from finite-difference discretization of the Poisson equation, using the conjugate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Chen Greif , Yunhui He

It is our intention to provide via fractional calculus a generalization of the pure and compound Poisson processes, which are known to play a fundamental role in renewal theory, without and with reward, respectively. We first recall the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francesco Mainardi , Rudolf Gorenflo , Enrico Scalas

We consider a limit theorem for a triangular array of point processes generated by non-identically distributed random variables, and apply the result for the analysis of the limiting behavior of the Argmaximum of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Youri Davydov , Vladimir Rotar

The use of pointers and data-structures based on pointers results in circular memory references that are interpreted by a vital compiler analysis, namely pointer analysis. For a pair of memory references at a program point, a typical…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2011-12-19 Mohamed A. El-Zawawy

A causal input-output system may be described by a function space for inputs, a function space for outputs, and a causal operator mapping the input space into the output space. A particular representation of the state of such a system at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-09-28 Demetrios Serakos

In recent years there has been a substantial increase in the availability of datasets which contain information about the location and timing of an event or group of events and the application of methods to analyse spatio-temporal datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Nik Lomax , Nick Malleson , Le-Minh Kieu

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

The predictive performance of any inferential model is critical to its practical success, but quantifying predictive performance is a subtle statistical problem. In this paper I show how the natural structure of any inferential problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-09 Michael Betancourt

The paper deals with planar segment processes given by a density with respect to the Poisson process. Parametric models involve reference distributions of directions and/or lengths of segments. These distributions generally do not coincide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Viktor Benes , Jakub Vecera , Milan Pultar

Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probability models over subsets of a ground set that favor diverse selections while suppressing redundancy. That is, they tend to assign higher likelihood to collections whose elements complement one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Computational mechanics, an approach to structural complexity, defines a process's causal states and gives a procedure for finding them. We show that the causal-state representation--an $\epsilon$-machine--is the minimal one consistent with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield
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