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Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

We study the optimal control of general stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation. Such problem is motivated originally from the asymptotic formulation of cooperative equilibrium for a large population of particles (players) in mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Huyên Pham , Xiaoli Wei

In this paper, we develop a 4/2 stochastic volatility plus jumps model, namely, a new stochastic volatility model including the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. Our model is highly tractable by applying the Lie symmetries theory…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Wei Lin , Shenghong Li , Xingguo Luo , Shane Chern

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

This paper develops a new stochastic volatility model for the temperature that is a natural extension of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model proposed by Benth and Benth (2007). This model allows to be more conservative regarding extreme events…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-11 Aurélien Alfonsi , Nerea Vadillo

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: $dX_t=a_tdt+\sigma_tdW_t$, where $X$ denotes the log-price and $\sigma$ is a c\`adl\`ag semi-martingale. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 A. Alvarez , F. Panloup , M. Pontier , N. Savy

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

An appropriate iterative scheme for the minimization of the energy, based on the variational Monte Carlo (VMC) technique, is introduced and compared with existing stochastic schemes. We test the various methods for the 1D Heisenberg ring…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-11 Sandro Sorella

Rough volatility models are very appealing because of their remarkable fit of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the volatility process, there is no simple way to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Omar El Euch

This work extends the variance reduction method for the pricing of possibly path-dependent derivatives, which was developed in (Genin and Tankov, 2016) for exponential L\'evy models, to affine stochastic volatility models (Keller-Ressel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

We present a new class of Bayesian dynamic models for bivariate price-realized volatility time series in financial forecasting. A novel dynamic gamma process model adopted for realized volatility is integrated with traditional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Patrick Woitschig , Mike West

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

This paper develops a new efficient scheme for approximations of expectations of the solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In particular, we present a method for connecting approximate operators based on an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Akihiko Takahashi , Toshihiro Yamada

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber
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