English
Related papers

Related papers: Optimal tests in AR(m) time series model

200 papers

The research described in this paper is motivated by model checking for parametric single-index models with diverging number of predictors. To construct a test statistic, we first study the asymptotic property of the estimators of involved…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

This paper introduces a new class of robust estimates for ARMA models. They are M-estimates, but the residuals are computed so the effect of one outlier is limited to the period where it occurs. These estimates are closely related to those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 Nora Muler , Daniel Peña , Víctor J. Yohai

An important issue for many economic experiments is how the experimenter can ensure sufficient power for rejecting one or more hypotheses. Here, we apply methods developed mainly within the area of clinical trials for testing multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-06 Sebastian Jobjörnsson , Henning Schaak , Oliver Mußhoff , Tim Friede

In this paper, we develop a complete methodology for detecting time-varying/non time-varying parameters in ARCH processes. For this purpose, we estimate and test various semiparametric versions of the time-varying ARCH model (tv-ARCH) which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Lionel Truquet

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Using a variational approach, two new series representations for the incomplete Gamma function are derived: the first is an asymptotic series, which contains and improves over the standard asymptotic expansion; the second is a uniformly…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Paolo Amore

We study the quadratic prediction error method -- i.e., nonlinear least squares -- for a class of time-varying parametric predictor models satisfying a certain identifiability condition. While this method is known to asymptotically achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Charis Stamouli , Ingvar Ziemann , George J. Pappas

In this work a method for statistical analysis of time series is proposed, which is used to obtain solutions to some classical problems of mathematical statistics under the only assumption that the process generating the data is stationary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-05 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

A class of estimating functions is introduced for the regression parameter of the Cox proportional hazards model to allow unknown failure statuses on some study subjects. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Irene Gijbels , Danyu Lin , Zhiliang Ying

We consider a class of doubly weighted rank-based estimating methods for the transformation (or accelerated failure time) model with missing data as arise, for example, in case-cohort studies. The weights considered may not be predictable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Bin Nan , John D. Kalbfleisch , Menggang Yu

Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Kacper Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

The method of extrapolating asymptotic series, based on the Self-Similar Approximation Theory, is developed. Several important questions are answered, which makes the foundation of the method unambiguous and its application straightforward.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

A method is suggested allowing for the improvement of accuracy of self-similar factor and root approximants, constructed from asymptotic series. The method is based on performing a power transform of the given asymptotic series, with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Gluzman , V. I. Yukalov

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

We consider the residual empirical process in random design regression with long memory errors. We establish its limiting behaviour, showing that its rates of convergence are different from the rates of convergence for to the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Pawel Lorek , Rafal Kulik

In model checking for regressions, nonparametric estimation-based tests usually have tractable limiting null distributions and are sensitive to oscillating alternative models, but suffer from the curse of dimensionality. In contrast,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Lingzhu Li , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

This paper addresses the problem of estimating multiplicative fault signals in linear time-invariant systems by processing its input and output variables, as well as designing an input signal to maximize the accuracy of such estimates. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tamas Keviczky

Adequacy for estimation between an inferential method and a model can be de{\ldots}ned through two main requirements: {\ldots}rstly the inferential tool should de{\ldots}ne a well posed problem when applied to the model; secondly the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Michel Broniatowski , Justin Moutsouka