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In this work, we propose a mean-squared error-based risk that enables the comparison and optimization of estimators of squared calibration errors in practical settings. Improving the calibration of classifiers is crucial for enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Francis Bach

We develop an approximate formula for evaluating a cross-validation estimator of predictive likelihood for multinomial logistic regression regularized by an $\ell_1$-norm. This allows us to avoid repeated optimizations required for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-19 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

This paper formulates a general cross validation framework for signal denoising. The general framework is then applied to nonparametric regression methods such as Trend Filtering and Dyadic CART. The resulting cross validated versions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Sabyasachi Chatterjee

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator or Lasso is one of the widely used regularization methods in regression. Statisticians usually implement Lasso in practice by choosing the penalty parameter in a data-dependent way, the most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Xin Gao , Daniel Q. Pu , Yuehua Wu , Hong Xu

As the main workhorse for model selection, Cross Validation (CV) has achieved an empirical success due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, despite its ubiquitous role, CV often falls into the following notorious dilemmas. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Weikai Li , Chuanxing Geng , Songcan Chen

This paper describes a method for performing inference on models chosen by cross-validation. When the test error being minimized in cross-validation is a residual sum of squares it can be written as a quadratic form. This allows us to apply…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-01 Joshua R. Loftus

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

It is crucial to assess the predictive performance of a model to establish its practicality and relevance in real-world scenarios, particularly for high-dimensional data analysis. Among data splitting or resampling methods, cross-validation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Iris Ivy Gauran , Hernando Ombao , Zhaoxia Yu

Cross-validation is a common method for estimating the predictive performance of machine learning models. In a data-scarce regime, where one typically wishes to maximize the number of instances used for training the model, an approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 George I. Austin , Itsik Pe'er , Tal Korem

Our topic is the use of machine learning to improve software by making choices which do not compromise the correctness of the output, but do affect the time taken to produce such output. We are particularly concerned with computer algebra…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Dorian Florescu , Matthew England

Neural networks are among the most powerful nonlinear models used to address supervised learning problems. Similar to most machine learning algorithms, neural networks produce point predictions and do not provide any prediction interval…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Saeed Khaki , Dan Nettleton

Regularized regression approaches such as the Lasso have been widely adopted for constructing sparse linear models in high-dimensional datasets. A complexity in fitting these models is the tuning of the parameters which control the level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Ellis Patrick , Samuel Mueller

In the world of targeted learning, cross-validated targeted maximum likelihood estimators, CV-TMLE [Zheng:2010aa], has a distinct advantage over TMLE [Laan:2006aa] in that one less condition is required of CV-TMLE in order to achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-14 Jonathan Levy

There is a great need for robust techniques in data mining and machine learning contexts where many standard techniques such as principal component analysis and linear discriminant analysis are inherently susceptible to outliers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-28 Garth Tarr , Samuel Müller , Neville C. Weber

In safety-critical applications a probabilistic model is usually required to be calibrated, i.e., to capture the uncertainty of its predictions accurately. In multi-class classification, calibration of the most confident predictions only is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-30 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

We present an efficient method to estimate cross-validation bandwidth parameters for kernel density estimation in very large datasets where ordinary cross-validation is rendered highly inefficient, both statistically and computationally.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Anirban Bhattacharya , Jeffrey D. Hart

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

We study hypothesis testing for penalized estimators in settings where the full marginal distribution of a multivariate response is difficult to specify, such as longitudinal data with correlated measurements or high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jing Zhou , Zhe Zhang

Covariance matrix plays a central role in multivariate statistical analysis. Significant advances have been made recently on developing both theory and methodology for estimating large covariance matrices. However, a minimax theory has yet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 T. Tony Cai , Cun-Hui Zhang , Harrison H. Zhou