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First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Waleed A. Yousef

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

We derive high-dimensional Gaussian comparison results for the standard $V$-fold cross-validated risk estimates. Our results combine a recent stability-based argument for the low-dimensional central limit theorem of cross-validation with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Nicholas Kissel , Jing Lei

K-fold cross-validation is a widely used tool for assessing classifier performance. The reproducibility crisis faced by artificial intelligence partly results from the irreproducibility of reported k-fold cross-validation-based performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Attila Fazekas , Gyorgy Kovacs

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

Predictive models ground many state-of-the-art developments in statistical brain image analysis: decoding, MVPA, searchlight, or extraction of biomarkers. The principled approach to establish their validity and usefulness is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-26 Gaël Varoquaux

We introduce an estimation method of covariance matrices in a high-dimensional setting, i.e., when the dimension of the matrix, , is larger than the sample size . Specifically, we propose an orthogonally equivariant estimator. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Samprit Banerjee , Stefano Monni

K-fold cross-validation (CV) with squared error loss is widely used for evaluating predictive models, especially when strong distributional assumptions cannot be taken. However, CV with squared error loss is not free from distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Cross-validation is the workhorse of modern applied statistics and machine learning, as it provides a principled framework for selecting the model that maximizes generalization performance. In this paper, we show that the cross-validation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-21 Shane Barratt , Rishi Sharma

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Daniel Bartz

Randomized smoothing is currently the state-of-the-art method that provides certified robustness for deep neural networks. However, due to its excessively conservative nature, this method of incomplete verification often cannot achieve an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Bo-Han Kung , Shang-Tse Chen

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

We introduce an exploratory study on Mutation Validation (MV), a model validation method using mutated training labels for supervised learning. MV mutates training data labels, retrains the model against the mutated data, then uses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Jie M. Zhang , Mark Harman , Benjamin Guedj , Earl T. Barr , John Shawe-Taylor

I review some of the main methods for selecting tuning parameters in nonparametric and $\ell_1$-penalized estimation. For the nonparametric estimation, I consider the methods of Mallows, Stein, Lepski, cross-validation, penalization, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-07 Denis Chetverikov

This note shows that for i.i.d. data, estimating large covariance matrices in factor models can be casted using a simple plug-in method to choose the threshold: $$…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Yuan Liao

Many machine learning models have important structural tuning parameters that cannot be directly estimated from the data. The common tactic for setting these parameters is to use resampling methods, such as cross--validation or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-28 Max Kuhn

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for model-selection. Unfortunately, it is not immediately obvious how to apply CV to unsupervised or exploratory contexts. This thesis discusses some extensions of cross-validation to unsupervised…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-17 Patrick O. Perry

We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-04 Hado van Hasselt

Many versions of cross-validation (CV) exist in the literature; and each version though has different variants. All are used interchangeably by many practitioners; yet, without explanation to the connection or difference among them. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Waleed A. Yousef
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