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In this paper, we study the discrete time filtering problems for linear systems driven by fractional noises. The main difficulty comes from the non-Markovian of the noises. We construct the difference equation of the covariance process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Yuecai Han , Yuhang Li

This paper contributes to the emerging viewpoint that governing equations for dynamic state estimation, conditioned on the history of noisy measurements, can be viewed as gradient flow on the manifold of joint probability density functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Abhishek Halder , Tryphon T. Georgiou

It is often convenient to separate a state estimation task into smaller "local" tasks, where each local estimator estimates a subset of the overall system state. However, neglecting cross-covariance terms between state estimates can result…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mohammed Shalaby , Charles Champagne Cossette , Jerome Le Ny , James Richard Forbes

Giving a convincing experimental evidence of the quantum supremacy over classical simulations is a challenging goal. Noise is considered to be the main problem in such a demonstration, hence it is urgent to understand the effect of noise.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-08 Valery Shchesnovich

Latent state space models are a fundamental and widely used tool for modeling dynamical systems. However, they are difficult to learn from data and learned models often lack performance guarantees on inference tasks such as filtering and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Byron Boots , J. Andrew Bagnell

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

Reservoir computing is an emerging, but very successful approach towards processing and classification of various signals. It can be described as a model of a transient computation, where influence of input changes internal dynamics of…

Particle filters are applicable to a wide range of nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models and have already been applied to a variety of problems. However, there is a problem in the calculation of smoothed distributions, where particles…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-16 G. Kitagawa

In the previous paper an adaptive filtering based on a reference recursive recipe was developed and tested on a simulated dynamics of a spring, mass, and damper with a weak nonlinear spring. In this paper the above recipe is applied to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson , M. R. Ananthasayanam

Since the innovation of the ubiquitous Kalman filter more than five decades back it is well known that to obtain the best possible estimates the tuning of its statistics $X_0$, $P_0$, $\Theta$, $R$ and $Q$ namely initial state and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 M. R. Ananthasayanam , Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson

An important characteristic of flocks of birds, school of fish, and many similar assemblies of self-propelled particles is the emergence of states of collective order in which the particles move in the same direction. When noise is added…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-19 M. Aldana , V. Dossetti , C. Huepe , V. M. Kenkre , H. Larralde

The particle filter is one of the most successful methods for state inference and identification of general non-linear and non-Gaussian models. However, standard particle filters suffer from degeneracy of the particle weights, in particular…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

Markov state models (MSMs) are widely employed to analyze the kinetics of complex systems. But despite their effectiveness in many applications, MSMs are prone to systematic or statistical errors, often exacerbated by suboptimal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-12 Yehor Tuchkov , Luke Evans , Sonya M. Hanson , Erik H. Thiede

The transfer of reinforcement learning (RL) techniques into real-world applications is challenged by safety requirements in the presence of physical limitations. Most RL methods, in particular the most popular algorithms, do not support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper analyzes the simulation to reality gap in reinforcement learning (RL) cyber-physical systems with fractional delays (i.e. delays that are non-integer multiple of the sampling period). The consideration of fractional delay has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-03 Mohamad Chehadeh , Igor Boiko , Yahya Zweiri

Reliable state estimation is essential for autonomous systems operating in complex, noisy environments. Classical filtering approaches, such as the Kalman filter, can struggle when facing nonlinear dynamics or non-Gaussian noise, and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Wonjin Song , Feng Bao

Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the parameters in the form of their state- or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation is governed by a discrete-valued latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Yong Song , Tomasz Woźniak

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori