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A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

In population genetic studies, the allele frequency spectrum (AFS) efficiently summarizes genome-wide polymorphism data and shapes a variety of allele frequency-based summary statistics. While existing theory typically features equilibrium…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Ingemar Kaj , Carina F. Mugal

Mounting evidence suggests that natural populations can harbor extensive fitness diversity with numerous genomic loci under selection. It is also known that genealogical trees for populations under selection are quantifiably different from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-04 Adel Dayarian , Boris I Shraiman

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer

We investigate the behaviour of the genealogy of a Wright-Fisher population model under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect. More precisely, we consider a simple seed-bank age distribution with two atoms, leading to either classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt

The genetic diversity of a species is shaped by its recent evolutionary history and can be used to infer demographic events or selective sweeps. Most inference methods are based on the null hypothesis that natural selection is a weak or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Richard A. Neher , Oskar Hallatschek

Phylodynamics focuses on the problem of reconstructing past population size dynamics from current genetic samples taken from the population of interest. This technique has been extensively used in many areas of biology, but is particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-23 Shiwei Lan , Julia A. Palacios , Michael Karcher , Vladimir N. Minin , Babak Shahbaba

In this article, we derive statistical tools to analyze and distinguish the patterns of genetic variability produced by classical and recent population genetic models related to seed banks. In particular, we are concerned with models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-10 Jochen Blath , Eugenio Buzzoni , Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke Berenguer

In phylogenomics, species-tree methods must contend with two major sources of noise; stochastic gene-tree variation under the multispecies coalescent model (MSC) and finite-sequence substitutional noise. Fast agglomerative methods such as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-11 Georgios Aliatimis , Ruriko Yoshida , Burak Boyaci , James A. Grant

We analyse a family of two-types Wright-Fisher models with selection in a random environment and skewed offspring distribution. We provide a calculable criterion to quantify the impact of different shapes of selection on the fate of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Adrián González Casanova , Dario Spanò , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We dedicate this paper to Sir John Kingman on his 70th Birthday. In modern mathematical population genetics the ancestral history of a population of genes back in time is described by John Kingman's coalescent tree. Classical and modern…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-25 Robert C. Griffiths , Dario Spano`

Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing for the study of rare events by means of simulating a large number of copies of the system, supplemented with a selection rule that favours the rare trajectories of interest. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-07 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo

Deep neural networks (DNN) have been used successfully in many scientific problems for their high prediction accuracy, but their application to genetic studies remains challenging due to their poor interpretability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Peyman H. Kassani , Fred Lu , Yann Le Guen , Zihuai He

The Moran discrete process and the Wright-Fisher modelare the most popular models in population genetics. It is common tounderstand the dynamics of these models to use an approximating diffusionprocess, called Wright-Fisher diffusion. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Gorgui Gackou , A Guillin , Arnaud Personne

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

We provide a general theorem bounding the error in the approximation of a random measure of interest--for example, the empirical population measure of types in a Wright-Fisher model--and a Dirichlet process, which is a measure having…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Han L. Gan , Nathan Ross

We consider a population with two types of individuals, distinguished by the resources required for reproduction: type-$0$ (small) individuals need a fractional resource unit of size $\vartheta \in (0,1)$, while type-$1$ (large) individuals…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fernando Cordero , Hannah Dopmeyer

Species tree estimation is a complex problem, due to the fact that different parts of the genome can have different evolutionary histories than the genome itself. One of the causes for this discord is incomplete lineage sorting (also called…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-09 Erin Molloy , Tandy Warnow

Coalescent processes, including mutation, are derived from Moran type population models admitting large offspring numbers. Including mutation in the coalescent process allows for quantifying the turnover of alleles by computing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Bjarki Eldon
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