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Estimating the likelihood, timing, and nature of events is a major goal of modeling stochastic dynamical systems. When the event is rare in comparison with the timescales of simulation and/or measurement needed to resolve the elemental…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-14 John Strahan , Justin Finkel , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Routing mechanisms for stochastic networks are often designed to produce state space collapse (SSC) in a heavy-traffic limit, i.e., to confine the limiting process to a lower-dimensional subset of its full state space. In a fluid limit, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Ohad Perry , Ward Whitt

Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-13 Santhosh Narayanan , Carsten Maple , Mark Hooper

We study individual-based dynamics in finite populations, subject to randomly switching environmental conditions. These are inspired by models in which genes transition between on and off states, regulating underlying protein dynamics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-18 Peter G. Hufton , Yen Ting Lin , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane

Stochastic dynamics of several systems can be modeled via piecewise deterministic time evolution of the state, interspersed by random discrete events. Within this general class of systems, we consider time-triggered stochastic hybrid…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Mohammad Soltani , Abhyudai Singh

Coupled dynamical systems with one slow element and many fast elements are analyzed. By averaging over the dynamics of the fast variables, the adiabatic kinetic branch is introduced for the dynamics of the slow variable in the adiabatic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-15 Hidetoshi Aoki , Kunihiko Kaneko

In this article, we study the dynamics of a nonlinear system governed by an ordinary differential equation under the combined influence of fast periodic sampling with period $\delta$ and small jump noise of size $\varepsilon, 0<…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Shivam Singh Dhama

The methodology based on the random walk processes is adapted and applied to a comprehensive analysis of the statistical properties of the probability fluxes. To this aim we define a simple model of the Markovian stochastic dynamics on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 Przemyslaw Chelminiak , Michal Kurzynski

We investigate the weak-strong coupling transition of two linearly coupled systems under the influence of a phase fluctuating coupling. In the weak coupling regime the exponential decay of quantum properties is well known. A different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-11-13 Dagoberto S. Freitas , M. C. Nemes

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

We consider a stochastic environment with two time scales and outline a general theory that compares two methods to reduce the dimension of the original system. The first method involves the computation of the underlying deterministic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Ira B. Schwartz

This paper considers a distributed stochastic optimization problem where the goal is to minimize the time average of a cost function subject to a set of constraints on the time averages of a related stochastic processes called penalties. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-06 B. N. Bharath , Vaishali P

We consider the problem of estimating states and parameters in a model based on a system of coupled stochastic differential equations, based on noisy discrete-time data. Special attention is given to nonlinear dynamics and state-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Kasper Kristensen

A system's internal dynamics and its interaction with the environment can be determined by tracking how external perturbations affect its transition rates between states. Quantitative measurements of these rates are crucial for optimizing…

The long time dynamics of large particles trapped in two inhomogeneous turbulent shear flows is studied experimentally. Both flows present a common feature, a shear region that separates two colliding circulations, but with different…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-02 N Machicoane , M López-Caballero , L Fiabane , J-F Pinton , M Bourgoin , J Burguete , R Volk

The rate of strong convergence is investigated for an approximation scheme for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed Brownian motion, where the random time changes $(E_t)_{t\ge 0}$ considered include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Sixian Jin , Kei Kobayashi

This paper focuses on the performance and the robustness analysis of stochastic jump linear systems. The state trajectory under stochastic jump process becomes random variables, which brings forth the probability distributions in the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

We present a simple stochastic quadrant model for calculating the transport and de- position of heavy particles in a fully developed turbulent boundary layer based on the statistics of wall-normal fluid velocity fluctuations obtained from a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-02 C. Jin , I. Potts , M. W. Reeks