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We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

A probabilistic approach of computing geometric rate of convergence of stochastic processes is introduced in this paper. The goal is to quantitatively compute both upper and lower bounds of the exponential rate of convergence to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Yao Li , Shirou Wang

Stochasticity plays important roles in reaction systems. Vector fields of probability flux and velocity characterize time-varying and steady-state properties of these systems, including high probability paths, barriers, checkpoints among…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-05 Anna Terebus , Chun Liu , Jie Liang

The fluctuation scaling law has universally been observed in a wide variety of phenomena. For counting processes describing the number of events occurred during time intervals, it is expressed as a power function relationship between the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-01 Shinsuke Koyama

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

The bifurcation method is a way to do rare event sampling -- to estimate the probability of events that are too rare to be found by direct simulation. We describe the bifurcation method and use it to estimate the transition rate of a double…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-06-06 Hongliang Liu , Jonathan Goodman

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

The probability distribution for multiple collisions observed in the chaotic low energy domain in the bouncing ball model is shown to be scaling invariant concerning the control parameters. The model considers the dynamics of a bouncing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-27 Edson D. Leonel , Diego F. M. Oliveira

We study the dynamics of dephasing in a quantum two-level system by modeling both 1/f and high-frequency noise by random telegraph processes. Our approach is based on a so-called spin-fluctuator model in which a noisy environment is modeled…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-01 Alexander I. Nesterov , Gennady P. Berman

In biology phenotypic switching is a common bet-hedging strategy in the face of uncertain environmental conditions. Existing mathematical models often focus on periodically changing environments to determine the optimal phenotypic response.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-14 Peter G. Hufton , Yen Ting Lin , Tobias Galla

We experimentally study the fluctuations of the work done by an external Gaussian random force on two different stochastic systems coupled to a thermal bath: a colloidal particle in an optical trap and an atomic force microscopy cantilever.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-04-20 Juan Ruben Gomez-Solano , Ludovic Bellon , Artyom Petrosyan , Sergio Ciliberto

Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

Many processes in nature such as conformal changes in biomolecules and clusters of interacting particles, genetic switches, mechanical or electromechanical oscillators with added noise, and many others are modeled using stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Jiaxin Yuan , Amar Shah , Channing Bentz , Maria Cameron

Stochastic dynamics of chemical reactions in a mutually repressing two-gene circuit is numerically simulated. The circuit has a rich variety of different states when the kinetic change of DNA status is slow. The stochastic switching…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Tomohiro Ushikubo , Wataru Inoue , Mitsumasa Yoda , Masaki Sasai

In this paper, we propose a new method to measure the probabilistic robustness of stochastic jump linear system with respect to both the initial state uncertainties and the randomness in switching. Wasserstein distance which defines a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-03 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

Recent developments in automated tracking allow uninterrupted, high-resolution recording of animal trajectories, sometimes coupled with the identification of stereotyped changes of body pose or other behaviors of interest. Analysis and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Katarina Bodova , Gabriel J. Mitchell , Roy Harpaz , Elad Schneidman , Gasper Tkacik

Stochastic oscillations in individual cells are usually characterized by a non-monotonic power spectrum with an oscillatory autocorrelation function. Here we develop an analytical approach of stochastic oscillations in a minimal hybrid…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-08 Chen Jia , Hong Qian , Michael Q. Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a new algorithm for rare event estimation based on adaptive importance sampling. We consider a smoothed version of the optimal importance sampling density, which is approximated by an ensemble of interacting…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-19 Konstantin Althaus , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We consider a type of optimal switching problems with non-uniform execution delays and ramping. Such problems frequently occur in the operation of economical and engineering systems. We first provide a solution to the problem by applying a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Magnus Perninge
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