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Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We give a closed form of the discrete-time evolution of a recombination transformation in population genetics. This decomposition allows to define a Markov chain in a natural way. We describe the geometric decay rate to the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Servet Martinez

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

We consider the discrete-time migration-recombination equation, a deterministic, nonlinear dynamical system that describes the evolution of the genetic type distribution of a population evolving under migration and recombination in a law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Frederic Alberti , Ellen Baake , Ian Letter , Servet Martinez

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

A birth-death process is a continuous-time Markov chain that counts the number of particles in a system over time. In the general process with $n$ current particles, a new particle is born with instantaneous rate $\lambda_n$ and a particle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-11 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Consider a system evolving according to an absorbing discrete-time Markov chain with known transition matrix. The state of the system is observed at two points in time, separated by an unknown number of generations. We are interested in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Bianca De Sanctis , A. P. Jason de Koning

Generation and prediction of time series is analyzed for the case of a Bit-Generator: a perceptron where in each time step the input units are shifted one bit to the right with the state of the leftmost input unit set equal to the output…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 E. Eisenstein , I. Kanter , D. A. Kessler , W. Kinzel

Certain families of combinatorial objects admit recursive descriptions in terms of generating trees: each node of the tree corresponds to an object, and the branch leading to the node encodes the choices made in the construction of the…

We consider the evolution of a population of fixed size with no selection. The number of generations $G$ to reach the first common ancestor evolves in time. This evolution can be described by a simple Markov process which allows one to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Damien Simon , Bernard Derrida

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

It is well known that the classical recombination equation for two parent individuals is equivalent to the law of mass action of a strongly reversible chemical reaction network, and can thus be reformulated as a generalised gradient system.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Frederic Alberti

A structural time series model additively decomposes into generative, semantically-meaningful components, each of which depends on a vector of parameters. We demonstrate that considering each generative component together with its vector of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-16 David Rushing Dewhurst

Recently there has been significant interest in using causal modelling techniques to understand the structure of physical theories. However, the notion of `causation' is limiting - insisting that a physical theory must involve causal…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2023-07-24 Mordecai Waegell , Kelvin J. McQueen , Emily C. Adlam

Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

We generalize the notion of strong stationary time and we give a representation formula for the hitting time to a target set in the general case of non-reversible Markov processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Francesco Manzo , Elisabetta Scoppola

In this paper, we introduce a general numerical method to approximate the reproduction numbers of a large class of multi-group, age-structured, population models with a finite age span. To provide complete flexibility in the definition of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio

What is a population? This review considers how a population may be defined in terms of understanding the structure of the underlying genetics of the individuals involved. The main approach is to consider statistically identifiable groups…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-05 Daniel John Lawson

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

Time evolution equations for dynamical systems can often be derived from generating functionals. Examples are Newton's equations of motion in classical dynamics which can be generated within the Lagrange or the Hamiltonian formalism. We…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Claudius Gros
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