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The Bayesian paradigm offers principled tools for sequential decision-making under uncertainty, but its reliance on a probabilistic model for all parameters can hinder the incorporation of complex structural constraints. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Kaizheng Wang

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

In the pivotal variable selection problem, we derive the exact non-asymptotic minimax selector over the class of all $s$-sparse vectors, which is also the Bayes selector with respect to the uniform prior. While this optimal selector is, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Cristina Butucea , Enno Mammen , Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We consider the problem of predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model with exact sparsity constraints on the location parameters. We study the first order asymptotic minimax risk of Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Gourab Mukherjee

In this paper we propose a method for wavelet denoising of signals contaminated with Gaussian noise when prior information about the $L^2$-energy of the signal is available. Assuming the independence model, according to which the wavelet…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-18 Dixon Vimalajeewa , Brani Vidakovic

In this paper, an exact bitwise MAP (Maximum A Posteriori) estimation algorithm for group testing problems is presented. We assume a simplest non-adaptive group testing scenario including N-objects with binary status and M-disjunctive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-20 Tadashi Wadayama , Taisuke Izumi

Multi-group covariance estimation for matrix-variate data with small within group sample sizes is a key part of many data analysis tasks in modern applications. To obtain accurate group-specific covariance estimates, shrinkage estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

Existing algorithms for subgroup discovery with numerical targets do not optimize the error or target variable dispersion of the groups they find. This often leads to unreliable or inconsistent statements about the data, rendering practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Mario Boley , Bryan R. Goldsmith , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Jilles Vreeken

Measuring di-Higgs production in the four-bottom channel is challenged by overwhelming QCD backgrounds and imperfect simulations. We develop a Bayesian mixture model that simultaneously infers signal and background fractions and their…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-01 Ezequiel Alvarez , Leandro Da Rold , Manuel Szewc , Alejandro Szynkman , Santiago Tanco , Tatiana Tarutina

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

The classical binary hypothesis testing problem is revisited. We notice that when one of the hypotheses is composite, there is an inherent difficulty in defining an optimality criterion that is both informative and well-justified. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Michael Bell , Yuval Kochman

Marginal likelihood, also known as model evidence, is a fundamental quantity in Bayesian statistics. It is used for model selection using Bayes factors or for empirical Bayes tuning of prior hyper-parameters. Yet, the calculation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Anindya Bhadra , Ksheera Sagar , David Rowe , Sayantan Banerjee , Jyotishka Datta

We consider the quantitative group testing problem where the objective is to identify defective items in a given population based on results of tests performed on subsets of the population. Under the quantitative group testing model, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Chao Wang , Qing Zhao , Chen-Nee Chuah

The group testing problem concerns discovering a small number of defective items within a large population by performing tests on pools of items. A test is positive if the pool contains at least one defective, and negative if it contains no…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Matthew Aldridge , Oliver Johnson , Jonathan Scarlett

An imprecise Bayesian nonparametric approach to system reliability with multiple types of components is developed. This allows modelling partial or imperfect prior knowledge on component failure distributions in a flexible way through…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-19 Gero Walter , Louis J. M. Aslett , Frank P. A. Coolen

Robust statistical inference often faces a severe computational-statistical gap when dealing with complex parameter spaces. We investigate minimax signal detection in the Gaussian sequence model under strong $\epsilon$-contamination, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Yikun Li , Matey Neykov

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

This paper considers an ML inspired approach to hypothesis testing known as classifier/classification-accuracy testing ($\mathsf{CAT}$). In $\mathsf{CAT}$, one first trains a classifier by feeding it labeled synthetic samples generated by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Patrik Róbert Gerber , Yanjun Han , Yury Polyanskiy

We consider a broad class of permutation invariant statistical problems by extending the standard decision theoretic definition to allow also selective inference tasks, where the target is specified only after seeing the data. For any such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Asaf Weinstein
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