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Identifying systems with high-dimensional inputs and outputs, such as systems measured by video streams, is a challenging problem with numerous applications in robotics, autonomous vehicles and medical imaging. In this paper, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-11 Gerben Izaak Beintema , Roland Toth , Maarten Schoukens

Bayesian optimisation is an adaptive sampling strategy for constructing a Gaussian process surrogate to efficiently search for the global minimum of a black-box computational model. Gaussian processes have limited applicability in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

The quality of an estimated nonlinear model highly depends on the data quality that was used for the system identification. By using a Gaussian Process-based optimal input design approach, a so-called space-filling dataset can be generated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Máté Kiss , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

A Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems is considered where the unknown quantity (input) is a random spatial field. The forward model is complex and non-linear, therefore computationally expensive. An emulator-based methodology is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Anirban Mondal , Bani Mallick

While optimal input design for linear systems has been well-established, no systematic approach exists for nonlinear systems where robustness to extrapolation/interpolation errors is prioritized over minimizing estimated parameter variance.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-09 Yuhan Liu , Máté Kiss , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens

This paper explores a Bayesian self-organization method for state-space models, enabling simultaneous state and parameter estimation without repeated likelihood calculations. While efficient for low-dimensional models, high-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-26 Genshiro Kitagawa

We evaluate the robustness of a probabilistic formulation of system identification (ID) to sparse, noisy, and indirect data. Specifically, we compare estimators of future system behavior derived from the Bayesian posterior of a learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Gorodetsky

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We study the class of state-space models and perform maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters. We consider a stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm to maximize the likelihood function with the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-25 Umberto Picchini , Adeline Samson

This paper discusses a novel initialization algorithm for the estimation of nonlinear state-space models. Good initial values for the model parameters are obtained by identifying separately the linear dynamics and the nonlinear terms in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-25 A. Marconato , J. Sjöberg , J. A. K. Suykens , J. Schoukens

Estimating the parameters of nonlinear block-oriented state-space models from input-output data typically involves solving a highly non-convex optimization problem, which is prone to poor local minima and slow convergence. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Merijn Floren , Jean-Philippe Noël , Jan Swevers

A new framework for nonlinear system identification is presented in terms of optimal fitting of stable nonlinear state space equations to input/output/state data, with a performance objective defined as a measure of robustness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Jennifer Wang , Alexandre Megretski , Russ Tedrake

Uncertainty in state or model parameters is common in robotics and typically handled by acquiring system measurements that yield information about the uncertain quantities of interest. Inputs to a nonlinear dynamical system yield outcomes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Parker Ewen , Gitesh Gunjal , Joey Wilson , Jinsun Liu , Challen Enninful Adu , Ram Vasudevan

In this paper we propose a method for applications oriented input design for linear systems under time-domain constraints on the amplitude of input and output signals. The method guarantees a desired control performance for the estimated…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-03-28 A. Ebadat , B. Wahlberg , H. Hjalmarsson , C. R. Rojas , P. Hagg , C. A. Larsson

Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

We present a new approach to Bayesian inference that entirely avoids Markov chain simulation, by constructing a map that pushes forward the prior measure to the posterior measure. Existence and uniqueness of a suitable measure-preserving…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-31 Tarek A. El Moselhy , Youssef M. Marzouk

Stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks are widely used to capture intrinsic noise in cellular systems. The typical formulation of these models are based on Markov processes for which there is extensive research on efficient…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-03 Thomas P. Steele , David J. Warne

One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Behnoosh Parsa , Keshav Rajasekaran , Franziska Meier , Ashis G. Banerjee

This paper proposes a sequential design for maximizing a stochastic computer simulator output, y(x), over an unknown optimization domain. The training data used to estimate the optimization domain are a set of (historical) inputs, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-17 François Bachoc , Théo Barthe , Thomas Santner , Yann Richet