Related papers: Count Models Based on Weibull Interarrival Times
Count-valued autoregressions are widely used to analyse time-series of reported infectious-disease cases because of their close connection with discrete-time transmission models. However, when such models are applied directly to…
One major drawback of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence is its lack of explainability. One approach to solve the problem is taking causality into account. Causal mechanisms can be described by structural causal models. In this work,…
We revisit Schnieper's model, which decomposes incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves into two components: reserves for newly reported claims (true IBNR) and reserves for changes over time in the estimated cost of already reported claims…
This paper develops likelihood-based methods for estimation, inference, model selection, and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes. The full likelihood of integer-valued trawl processes is, in general, highly…
To analyze longitudinal zero-inflated count data, we extend existing models by introducing marginalized zero-inflated Poisson (MZIP) models with random effects, which explicitly capture the marginal effect of covariates and address…
We consider a point process $i+\xi_i$, where $i\in \bZ$ and the $\xi_{i}$'s are i.i.d. random variables with variance $\sigma^{2}$. This process, with a suitable rescaling of the distribution of $\xi_i$'s, converges to the Poisson process…
Count data, for example the number of observed cases of a disease in a city, often arise in the fields of healthcare analytics and epidemiology. In this paper, we consider performing regression on multivariate data in which our outcome is a…
A general stochastic model is developed for the total interference in wideband systems, denoted as the PNSC(alpha) Interference Model. It allows one to obtain, analytic representations in situations where (a) interferers are distributed…
In this paper, we systematize the modeling of probabilistic systems for the purpose of analyzing them with model counting techniques. Starting from unbiased coin flips, we show how to model biased coins, correlated coins, and distributions…
In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate distributions called the bivariate exponentiated extended Weibull distributions. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. This new class of bivariate distributions contains…
Weibull distribution has received a wide range of applications in engineering and science. The utility and usefulness of an estimator is highly subject to the field of practitioner's study. In practice users looking for their desired…
We present a class of positive discrete random variables extending the Conway--Maxwell-Poisson distribution. This class emerges in a natural way from an application in queueing theory and contains distributions exhibiting quite different…
This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…
Many experiments are concerned with the comparison of counts between treatment groups. Examples include the number of successful signups in conversion rate experiments, or the number of errors produced by software versions in canary…
A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…
The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…
This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…
Mixture models are a standard tool in statistical analyses, widely used for density modeling and model-based clustering. In this work, we propose a Bayesian mixture model with repulsion between mixture components. Such repulsion helps…
Multivariate time-series data are used in many classification and regression predictive tasks, and recurrent models have been widely used for such tasks. Most common recurrent models assume that time-series data elements are of equal length…
Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…