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A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

Linear mixed models are widely used for analyzing hierarchically structured data involving missingness and unbalanced study designs. We consider a Bayesian clustering method that combines linear mixed models and predictive projections. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Yinan Mao , David J. Nott

Today's call center managers face multiple operational decision-making tasks. One of the most common is determining the weekly staffing levels to ensure customer satisfaction and meeting their needs while minimizing service costs. An…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Sivan Aldor-Noiman , Paul D. Feigin , Avishai Mandelbaum

Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Louis Paulot

A mixture of multivariate contaminated normal distributions is developed for model-based clustering. In addition to the parameters of the classical normal mixture, our contaminated mixture has, for each cluster, a parameter controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-20 Antonio Punzo , Paul D. McNicholas

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Motivated by demand prediction for the custodial prison population in England and Wales, this paper describes an approach to the study of service systems using infinite server queues, where the system has non-empty initial state and the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-23 Nikki Sonenberg , Victoria Volodina , Peter G. Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Dirichlet process mixtures are flexible non-parametric models, particularly suited to density estimation and probabilistic clustering. In this work we study the posterior distribution induced by Dirichlet process mixtures as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Giovanni Rebaudo , Giacomo Zanella

Following the work of arXiv:2101.09512, we are interested in clustering a given multi-variate series in an unsupervised manner. We would like to segment and cluster the series such that the resulting blocks present in each cluster are…

We conduct cluster analysis on a class of locally asymptotically self-similar stochastic processes, which includes multifractional Brownian motion as a representative. When the true number of clusters is supposed to be known, a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Qidi Peng , Nan Rao , Ran Zhao

Due to the wider availability of modern electronic health records, patient care data is often being stored in the form of time-series. Clustering such time-series data is crucial for patient phenotyping, anticipating patients' prognoses by…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-06-17 Changhee Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper introduces a new asymptotic regime for simplifying stochastic models having non-stationary effects, such as those that arise in the presence of time-of-day effects. This regime describes an operating environment within which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

The queue system,with Poisson arrivals,constant service time and infinite servers, busy period distribution is intensively studied because, due to its probability density function quite easy interpretation, it may serve as a clue to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira

The goal of data clustering is to partition data points into groups to minimize a given objective function. While most existing clustering algorithms treat each data point as vector, in many applications each datum is not a vector but a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 Dinh Phung , Ba-Ngu Bo

In multitasking operating systems, requests for free memory are traditionally modeled as a stochastic counting process with independent, exponentially-distributed interarrival times because of the analytic simplicity such Poisson models…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-03-28 James Garnett , Elizabeth Bradley

We introduce a procedure to infer the interactions among a set of binary variables, based on their sampled frequencies and pairwise correlations. The algorithm builds the clusters of variables contributing most to the entropy of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson