Related papers: Prediction in a non-homogeneous Poisson cluster mo…
In light of intense hurricane activity along the U.S. Atlantic coast, attention has turned to understanding both the economic impact and behaviour of these storms. The compound Poisson-lognormal process has been proposed as a model for…
The expectation and the mean of partitions generated by a cluster ensemble are not unique in general. This issue poses challenges in statistical inference and cluster stability. In this contribution, we state sufficient conditions for…
This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…
We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation and prediction for nonhomogeneous Poisson process models with unknown intensity functions. We propose a class of improper priors for intensity functions. Nonparametric Bayesian inference with…
Intensity estimation for Poisson processes is a classical problem and has been extensively studied over the past few decades. Practical observations, however, often contain compositional noise, i.e. a nonlinear shift along the time axis,…
Queues that feature multiple entities arriving simultaneously are among the oldest models in queueing theory, and are often referred to as "batch" (or, in some cases, "bulk") arrival queueing systems. In this work we study the affect of…
We revisit Schnieper's model, which decomposes incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves into two components: reserves for newly reported claims (true IBNR) and reserves for changes over time in the estimated cost of already reported claims…
Clustering of proteins is of interest in cancer cell biology. This article proposes a hierarchical Bayesian model for protein (variable) clustering hinging on correlation structure. Starting from a multivariate normal likelihood, we enforce…
We study a two-species bidirectional exclusion process, and a single species variant, which is motivated by the motion of organelles and vesicles along microtubules. Specifically, we are interested in the clustering of the particles and…
Multi-component polymer systems are of interest in organic photovoltaic and drug delivery applications, among others where diverse morphologies influence performance. An improved understanding of morphology classification, driven by…
This paper studies a service system in which arriving customers are provided with information about the delay they will experience. Based on this information they decide to wait for service or to leave the system. Specifically, every…
Background: When planning a cluster randomized trial, evaluators often have access to an enumerated cohort representing the target population of clusters. Practicalities of conducting the trial, such as the need to oversample clusters with…
The problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson processes is considered. The method of moments estimator is studied and its stochastic expansion is obtained. This stochastic expansion is then used to obtain the…
This work focuses on the development of an analytical framework to study a diffusion-assisted molecular communication-based network of nano-machines (NMs) with a clustered initial deployment to detect a target in a three-dimensional (3D)…
Multitype branching processes with immigration in one type are used to model the dynamics of stage-structured plant populations. Parametric inference is first carried out when count data of all types are observed. Statistical…
In topological data analysis, the notions of persistent homology, birthtime, lifetime, and deathtime are used to assign and capture relevant cycles (i.e., topological features) of a point cloud, such as loops and cavities. In particular,…
The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…
We study the problem of strategic choice of arrival time to a single-server queue with opening and closing times when there is uncertainty regarding service speed. A Poisson population of customers choose their arrival time with the goal of…
An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in an array of areas. Here we propose a generative probabilistic framework using a reinforced Poisson process to…
In this paper we introduce two procedures for variable selection in cluster analysis and classification rules. One is mainly oriented to detect the noisy non-informative variables, while the other deals also with multicolinearity. A…