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We study $\lambda$-biased branching random walks on Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson trees in discrete time. We consider the maximal displacement at time $n$, $\max_{\vert u \vert =n} \vert X(u) \vert$, and show that it almost surely grows at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Julien Berestycki , Nina Gantert , David Geldbach , Quan Shi

Let $T$ be the extinction moment of a critical branching process $Z=(Z_{n},n\geq 0) $ in a random environment specified by iid probability generating functions. We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of extinction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-08 V. A. Vatutin V. Wachtel

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

Under a fourth order moment condition on the branching and a second order moment condition on the immigration mechanisms, we show that an appropriately scaled projection of a supercritical and irreducible continuous state and continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Matyas Barczy , Sandra Palau , Gyula Pap

Branching processes are widely used to model phenomena from networks to neuronal avalanching. In a large class of continuous-time branching processes, we study the temporal scaling of the moments of the instant population size, the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Johannes Pausch , Benjamin Walter , Gunnar Pruessner

We study time series concerning rare events. The occurrence of a rare event is depicted as a jump of constant intensity always occurring in the same direction, thereby generating an asymmetric diffusion process. We consider the case where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Grigolini , Luigi Palatella , Giacomo Raffaelli

We first study a model, introduced recently in \cite{ES}, of a critical branching random walk in an IID random environment on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. The walker performs critical (0-2) branching at a lattice point if and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-30 Janos Englander , Yuval Peres

We analyze simple random walk on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree, where the walk is conditioned to return to the root at time $2n$. Specifically, we establish the asymptotic order (up to a constant factor) as $n\to\infty$, of the maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Josh Rosenberg

We analyze the asymptotic pointwise behavior of families of solutions to the high-order critical equation $$P_\alpha u_\alpha=\Delta_g^k u_\alpha+\hbox{lot}=|u_\alpha|^{2^\star-2-\epsilon_\alpha} u_\alpha\hbox{ in }M$$ that behave like…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Frédéric Robert

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multi-type branching processes in random environment. The class of processes we consider corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the intermediately subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Consider a critical branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$. Let $Z^{(n)}(A)$ be the number of individuals in the $n$-th generation located in $A\in \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R})$ and $Z_{n}:=Z^{(n)}(\mathbb{R})$ denote the population of the $n$-th…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Wenming Hong , Shengli Liang

We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

We consider the setting of either a general non-local branching particle process or a general non-local superprocess. Under the assumption that the mean semigroup has a Perron-Frobenious type behaviour in combination with a regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Pedro Martín-Chávez

In this paper, we study the following supercritical McKean-Vlasov SDE, driven by a symmetric non-degenerate cylindrical $\alpha$-stable process in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $\alpha \in (0,1)$: $$ \mathord{{\rm d}} X_t = (K *…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Zimo Hao , Chongyang Ren , Mingyan Wu

We study an iterated temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of a strongly stationary subcritical Galton-Watson branching process with regularly varying immigration having index $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. Limits of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

For a supercritical catalytic branching random walk on Z^d (d is positive integer) with an arbitrary finite catalysts set we study the spread of particles population as time grows to infinity. Namely, we divide by t the position coordinates…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-07 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya

We investigate the temporal evolution and spatial propagation of branching annihilating random walks in one dimension. Depending on the branching and annihilation rates, a few-particle initial state can evolve to a propagating finite…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Daniel ben-Avraham , Francois Leyvraz , Sid Redner

Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Muneya Matsui

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev