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We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Diverse communities of competing species are generally characterized by substantial niche overlap and strongly stochastic dynamics. Abundance fluctuations are proportional to population size, so the dynamics of rare populations is slower.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

This paper deals with the stochastic modeling of a class of heterogeneous population in a random environment, called birth-death-swap. In addition to demographic events, swap events, i.e. moves between subgroups, occur in the population.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Sarah Kaakai , Nicole El Karoui

Established populations often exhibit oscillations in their sizes. If a population is isolated, intrinsic stochasticity of elemental processes can ultimately bring it to extinction. Here we study extinction of oscillating populations in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Naftali R. Smith , Baruch Meerson

Stochastic fluctuations are central to the understanding of extinction dynamics. In the context of population models they allow for the description of the transition from the vicinity of a non-trivial fixed point of the deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-04 Claudia Cianci , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We propose a new perspective on the asymptotic regimes of fast and slow extinction in the contact process on locally converging sequences of sparse finite graphs. We characterise the phase boundary by the existence of a metastable density,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

We classify and predict the asymptotic dynamics of a class of swarming models. The model consists of a conservation equation in one dimension describing the movement of a population density field. The velocity is found by convolving the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 A. J. Leverentz , C. M. Topaz , A. J. Bernoff

Transitions to absorbing states are of fundamental importance in non-equilibrium physics as well as ecology. In ecology, absorbing states correspond to the extinction of species. We here study the spatial population dynamics of three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Steffen Rulands , Alejandro Zielinski , Erwin Frey

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation. Biologically motivated by the influence of seasons or the variation of drug concentration during medical treatment,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

We link two phenomena concerning the asymptotical behavior of stochastic processes: (i) abrupt convergence or cut-off phenomenon, and (ii) the escape behavior usually associated to exit from metastability. The former is characterized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Javiera Barrera , Olivier Bertoncini , Roberto Fernández

How diversity is maintained in natural ecosystems is a long-standing question in Theoretical Ecology. By studying a system that combines ecological dynamics, heterogeneous interactions and spatial structure, we uncover a new mechanism for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Giulia Garcia Lorenzana , Ada Altieri , Giulio Biroli

We introduce a model of biological evolution where species evolve in response to biotic interactions and a fluctuating environmental stress. The species may either become extinct or mutate to acquire a new fitness value when the effective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-19 Debarshee Bagchi , P. K. Mohanty

Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a regular one-dimensional diffusion that models a biological population. If one assumes that the population goes extinct in finite time it is natural to study the $Q$-process associated to $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. This is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Alexandru Hening

A mass ejection model in a time-dependent random environment with both temporal and spatial correlations is introduced. When the environment has a finite correlation length, individual particle trajectories are found to diffuse at large…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-03-28 Giorgio Krstulovic , Rehab Bitane , Jeremie Bec

We investigate the nature of genetic drift acting at the leading edge of range expansions, building on recent results in [Hallatschek et al., Proc.\ Natl.\ Acad.\ Sci., \textbf{104}(50): 19926 - 19930 (2007)]. A well mixed population of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-08-16 Adnan Ali , Stefan Grosskinsky

Finite-size fluctuations arising in the dynamics of competing populations may have dramatic influence on their fate. As an example, in this article, we investigate a model of three species which dominate each other in a cyclic manner.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-20 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

Migration between different habitats is ubiquitous among biological populations. In this Letter, we study a simple quasispecies model for evolution in two different habitats, with different fitness landscapes, coupled through one-way…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-23 Bartlomiej Waclaw , Rosalind J. Allen , Martin R. Evans

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

In a complex community, species continuously adapt to each other. On rare occasions, the adaptation of a species can lead to the extinction of others, and even its own. "Adaptive dynamics" is the standard mathematical framework to describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-13 Vu AT Nguyen , Dervis C Vural