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We propose the following model for speciation and extinction. Birth and deaths occur according to spatially inhomogeneous contact rates. We assume that the ratio of the birth rate over the death rate at a site converges to some limit as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

Understanding the mechanisms governing population extinctions is of key importance to many problems in ecology and evolution. Stochastic factors are known to play a central role in extinction, but the interactions between a population's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-22 Christopher Spalding , Charles R. Doering , Glenn R. Flierl

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter

A natural phenomenon occurring in a living system is an outcome of the dynamics of the specific biological network underlying the phenomenon. The collective dynamics have both deterministic and stochastic components. The stochastic nature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-01 Indrani Bose

The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

Conventional wisdom suggests that environmental noise drives populations toward extinction. In contrast, we report a paradoxical phenomenon in which stochasticity reverses a deterministic tipping point, thereby preventing collapse. Using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vinesh Vijayan , B Priyadharshini , R Sathish Kumar , G Janaki

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

In this work we address the analysis of discrete-time models of structured metapopulations subject to environmental stochasticity. Previous works on these models made use of the fact that migrations between the patches can be considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

Bacteria evolve in volatile environments and complex spatial structures. Migration, fluctuations and environmental variability therefore have a significant impact on the evolution of microbial populations. Here, we consider a class of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-24 Matthew Asker , Mohamed Swailem , Uwe C. Täuber , Mauro Mobilia

Self-arrangement of individuals into spatial patterns often accompanies and promotes species diversity in ecological systems. Here, we investigate pattern formation arising from cyclic dominance of three species, operating near a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-08-31 Tobias Reichenbach , Erwin Frey

The effect of diffusively correlated spatial fluctuations on the proliferation-extinction transition of autocatalytic agents is investigated numerically. Reactants adaptation to spatio-temporal active regions is shown to lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Sasi Moalem , Nadav M. Shnerb

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

In this paper, the extinction problem for a class of distylous plant populations is considered within the framework of certain nonhomogeneous nearest-neighbor random walks in the positive quadrant. For the latter, extinction means…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Kilian Raschel

We explore the connection between migration patterns and emergent behaviors of evolving populations in spatially heterogeneous environments. Despite extensive studies in ecologically and medically important systems, a unifying framework…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-10 Casey O. Barkan , Shenshen Wang

We consider a system of two stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with competing two-way interactions driven by Brownian motions and spectrally positive $\alpha$-stable random measures. Such a SDE system can be identified as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Jie Xiong , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

We show that the interplay between geometric criticality and dynamical fluctuations leads to a novel universality class of the contact process on a randomly diluted lattice. The nonequilibrium phase transition across the percolation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Vojta , Man Young Lee

We model and study the genetic evolution and conservation of a population of diploid hermaphroditic organisms, evolving continuously in time and subject to resource competition. In the absence of mutations, the population follows a 3-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Camille Coron

The perceived risk and reward for a given situation can vary depending on resource availability, accumulated wealth, and other extrinsic factors such as individual backgrounds. Based on this general aspect of everyday life, here we use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-07 Marco A. Amaral , Marcelo M. de Oliveira