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The large deviations principle for the empirical measure for both continuous and discrete time Markov processes is well known. Various expressions are available for the rate function, but these expressions are usually as the solution to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Paul Dupuis , Yufei Liu

Recently observation of random walks in complex environments like the cell and other glassy systems revealed that the spreading of particles, at its tails, follows a spatial exponential decay instead of the canonical Gaussian. We use the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai , Stanislav Burov

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Reinhard Höpfner , Yury A Kutoyants

We suggest that the tools of contraction analysis for deterministic systems can be applied towards studying the convergence behavior of stochastic dynamical systems in the Wasserstein metric. In particular, we consider the case of Ito…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Jake Bouvrie , Jean-Jacques Slotine

The paper deals with the fast-slow motions setups in the continuous time $\frac {dX^(t)}{dt}=\frac 1\varepsilon B(X^\varepsilon(t),\xi(t/\varepsilon^2))+b(X^\varepsilon(t),\,\xi(t/\varepsilon^2)),\, t\in [0,T]$ and the discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Yuri Kifer

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

This paper is concerned with the large deviation principle of the stochastic reaction-diffusion lattice systems defined on the N-dimensional integer set, where the nonlinear drift term is locally Lipschitz continuous with polynomial growth…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Bixiang Wang

Understanding transport processes in complex nanoscale systems, like ionic conductivities in nanofluidic devices or heat conduction in low dimensional solids, poses the problem of examining fluctuations of currents within nonequilibrium…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 David T. Limmer , Chloe Y. Gao , Anthony R. Poggioli

We consider oscillatory systems of interacting Hawkes processes introduced in Ditlevsen and Loecherbach (2017) to model multi-class systems of interacting neurons together with the diffusion approximations of their intensity processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Eva Löcherbach

We develop a unified theory to analyze the microcanonical ensembles with several constraints given by unbounded observables. Several interesting phenomena that do not occur in the single constraint case can happen under the multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Kyeongsik Nam

We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

We present here a simple method for computing the large deviation of long time average for stochastic jump processes. We show that the computation of the rate function can be reduced to that of a partial differential equation governing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

Large deviation functions contain information on the stability and response of systems driven into nonequilibrium steady states, and in such a way are similar to free energies for systems at equilibrium. As with equilibrium free energies,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

We compute the Hamiltonian and Lagrangian associated to the large deviations of the trajectory of the empirical distribution for independent Markov processes, and of the empirical measure for translation invariant interacting Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Frank Redig , Feijia Wang

Using results from our companion article [arXiv:1112.4824v2] on a Schauder approach to existence of solutions to a degenerate-parabolic partial differential equation, we solve three intertwined problems, motivated by probability theory and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Paul M. N. Feehan , Camelia Pop

We study small perturbations of diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that leave invariant a finite collection of hypersurfaces. Each surface is assumed to be repelling for the unperturbed process, and the unperturbed motion on each of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Leonid Koralov , Chenglin Liu
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