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A recent line of work provides new statistical tools based on game-theory and achieves safe anytime-valid inference without assuming regularity conditions. In particular, the framework of universal inference proposed by Wasserman, Ramdas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Hongjian Shi , Mathias Drton

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

The classical likelihood ratio test (LRT) based on the asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the log likelihood is one of the fundamental tools of statistical inference. A recent universal LRT approach based on sample splitting provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Robin Dunn , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Linear mixed effects models (LMMs) are a popular and powerful tool for analyzing clustered or repeated observations for numeric outcomes. LMMs consist of a fixed and a random component, specified in the model through their respective design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Nataša Kejžar

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

Dose-finding studies in oncology often include an up-and-down dose transition rule that assigns a dose to each cohort of patients based on accumulating data on dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) events. In making a dose transition decision, a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Zhiwei Zhang

We present new excess risk bounds for general unbounded loss functions including log loss and squared loss, where the distribution of the losses may be heavy-tailed. The bounds hold for general estimators, but they are optimized when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Peter D. Grünwald , Nishant A. Mehta

We propose a sample-efficient alternative for importance weighting for situations where one only has sample access to the probability distribution that generates the observations. Our new method, called Geometric Resampling (GR), is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-02 Gergely Neu , Gábor Bartók

As technology continues to advance at a rapid pace, the prevalence of multivariate functional data (MFD) has expanded across diverse disciplines, spanning biology, climatology, finance, and numerous other fields of study. Although MFD are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Tianming Zhu

The likelihood ratio test (LRT) and the related $F$ test, do not (even asymptotically) adhere to their nominal $\chi^2$ and $F$ distributions in many statistical tests common in astrophysics, thereby casting many marginal line or source…

We develop a fully non-parametric, easy-to-use, and powerful test for the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption on the missingness mechanism of a dataset. The test compares distributions of different missing patterns on random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Meta-Lina Spohn , Jeffrey Näf , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

We introduce a kernel-based goodness-of-fit test for censored data, where observations may be missing in random time intervals: a common occurrence in clinical trials and industrial life-testing. The test statistic is straightforward to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Tamara Fernández , Arthur Gretton

We propose a procedure for testing the linearity of a scalar-on-function regression relationship. To do so, we use the functional generalized additive model (FGAM), a recently developed extension of the functional linear model. For a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-24 Mathew W. McLean , Giles Hooker , David Ruppert

In feature selection problems, knockoffs are synthetic controls for the original features. Employing knockoffs allows analysts to use nearly any variable importance measure or "feature statistic" to select features while rigorously…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Asher Spector , William Fithian

The asymptotic efficiency of a generalized likelihood ratio test proposed by Cox is studied under the large deviations framework for error probabilities developed by Chernoff. In particular, two separate parametric families of hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

Given two candidate models, and a set of target observations, we address the problem of measuring the relative goodness of fit of the two models. We propose two new statistical tests which are nonparametric, computationally efficient…

Generalized linear models and the quasi-likelihood method extend the ordinary regression models to accommodate more general conditional distributions of the response. Nonparametric methods need no explicit parametric specification, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Jianqing Fan , Yichao Wu , Yang Feng

Value function learning plays a central role in many state-of-the-art reinforcement-learning algorithms. Many popular algorithms like Q-learning do not optimize any objective function, but are fixed-point iterations of some variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Yihao Feng , Lihong Li , Qiang Liu