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We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Wenkai Xu , Zoltan Szabo , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton

Statistical inference with nonresponse is quite challenging, especially when the response mechanism is nonignorable. The existing methods often require correct model specifications for both outcome and response models. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Hejian Sang , Kosuke Morikawa

A simple test is proposed for examining the correctness of a given completely specified response function against unspecified general alternatives in the context of univariate regression. The usual diagnostic tools based on residuals plots…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-27 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

This paper establishes a novel role for Gaussian-mixture models (GMMs) as functional approximators of Q-function losses in reinforcement learning (RL). Unlike the existing RL literature, where GMMs play their typical role as estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Minh Vu , Konstantinos Slavakis

Experimental designs for a generalized linear model (GLM) often depend on the specification of the model, including the link function, the predictors, and unknown parameters, such as the regression coefficients. To deal with uncertainties…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

Data-driven most powerful tests are statistical hypothesis decision-making tools that deliver the greatest power against a fixed null hypothesis among all corresponding data-based tests of a given size. When the underlying data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Albert Vexler , Alan D. Hutson

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

A connection between the General Linear Model (GLM) in combination with classical statistical inference and the machine learning (MLE)-based inference is described in this paper. Firstly, the estimation of the GLM parameters is expressed as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Juan Manuel Gorriz , SIPBA group , John Suckling

Evaluating the performance of large language models (LLMs) from human preference data is crucial for obtaining LLM leaderboards. However, many existing approaches either rely on restrictive parametric assumptions or lack valid uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Dennis Frauen , Athiya Deviyani , Mihaela van der Schaar , Stefan Feuerriegel

Here, we introduce a new class of Lindley generated distributions which results in more flexible model with increasing failure rate (IFR), decreasing failure rate(DFR) and up-side down hazard functions for different choices of parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Deepesh Bhati , Mohd. Aamir Malik , K. K. Jose

We develop a systematic, omnibus approach to goodness-of-fit testing for parametric distributional models when the variable of interest is only partially observed due to censoring and/or truncation. In many such designs, tests based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

Inference based on the penalized density ratio model is proposed and studied. The model under consideration is specified by assuming that the log--likelihood function of two unknown densities is of some parametric form. The model has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-17 Konstantinos Fokianos

The presence of outlying observations may adversely affect statistical testing procedures that result in unstable test statistics and unreliable inferences depending on the distortion in parameter estimates. In spite of the fact that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay , Abhijit Mandal

Generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) are widely used to analyze grouped and hierarchical data. In a GLMM, each response is assumed to follow an exponential-family distribution where the natural parameter is given by a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

Parameter estimation is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. In many safety-critical applications, one is not only interested in a {\it point} estimator, but also the uncertainty bound that can self-assess the accuracy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Qin Lu , Yaakov Bar-Shalom , Peter Willett

Easy-to-interpret effect estimands are highly desirable in survival analysis. In the competing risks framework, one good candidate is the restricted mean time lost (RMTL). It is defined as the area under the cumulative incidence function up…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Merle Munko , Dennis Dobler , Marc Ditzhaus

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

In order to improve the already existing models that are used extensively in bio sciences and applied sciences research, a new class of Weighted Power function distribution (WPFD) has been proposed with its various properties and different…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-08-03 Azam Zaka , Ahmad Saeed Akhter , Riffat Jabeen

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Reparameterization (RP) and likelihood ratio (LR) gradient estimators are used throughout machine and reinforcement learning; however, they are usually explained as simple mathematical tricks without providing any insight into their nature.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Paavo Parmas , Masashi Sugiyama
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