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Understanding the dynamics of antibody levels is crucial for characterizing the time-dependent response to immune events: either infections or vaccinations. The sequence and timing of these events significantly influence antibody level…

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

Many peak detection algorithms have been proposed for ChIP-seq data analysis, but it is not obvious which method and what parameters are optimal for any given data set. In contrast, peaks can easily be located by visual inspection of…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-23 Toby Dylan Hocking , Patricia Goerner-Potvin , Andreanne Morin , Xiaojian Shao , Guillaume Bourque

BIC criterion is widely used by the neural-network community for model selection tasks, although its convergence properties are not always theoretically established. In this paper we will focus on estimating the number of components in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Madalina Olteanu , Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this work, we propose a model that can be used to infer the behavior of multiple animals. Our proposal is defined as a set of hidden Markov models that are based on the sticky hierarchical Dirichlet process, with a shared base-measure,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

One of the best ways of spotting previously undetected systematic errors in CMB experiments is to compare two independent observations of the same region. We derive a set of tools for comparing and combining CMB data sets, applicable also…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-07 Max Tegmark

Performing model selection for coupled hidden Markov models (CHMMs) is highly challenging, owing to the large dimension of the hidden state process. Whilst in principle the hidden state process can be marginalized out via forward filtering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-26 Jake Carson , Trevelyan J. McKinley , Peter Neal , Simon E. F. Spencer

Genetic recombination is one of the most important mechanisms that can generate and maintain diversity, and recombination information plays an important role in population genetic studies. However, the phenomenon of recombination is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Xian Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Ying Wang

We present a new algorithm for identifying the transition and emission probabilities of a hidden Markov model (HMM) from the emitted data. Expectation-maximization becomes computationally prohibitive for long observation records, which are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Kejun Huang , Xiao Fu , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We develop Graph-Coupled Hidden Markov Models (GCHMMs) for modeling the spread of infectious disease locally within a social network. Unlike most previous research in epidemiology, which typically models the spread of infection at the level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Wen Dong , Alex Pentland , Katherine A. Heller

The use of stochastic models, in effect piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP), has become increasingly popular especially for the modeling of chemical reactions and cell biophysics. Yet, exact simulation methods, for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Romain Veltz

State-switching models such as hidden Markov models or Markov-switching regression models are routinely applied to analyse sequences of observations that are driven by underlying non-observable states. Coupled state-switching models extend…

We propose a simple tractable pair hidden Markov model for pairwise sequence alignment that accounts for the presence of short tandem repeats. Using the framework of gain functions, we design several optimization criteria for decoding this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-31 Michal Nánási , Tomáš Vinař , Broňa Brejová

We present a hidden Markov model that describes variation in an animal's position associated with varying levels of activity in action potential spike trains of individual place cell neurons. The model incorporates a coarse-graining of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-22 Marc Box , Matt W. Jones , Nick Whiteley

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

This work approaches human chromosome mapping by developing algorithms for ordering markers associated with radiation hybrid data. Motivated by recent work of Boehnke et al. [1], we formulate the ordering problem by developing stochastic…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 C. T. Falk , H. Falk

We introduce a probabilistic framework for two-sample comparison based on a nonparametric process taking the form of a Markov model that transitions between a "divide" and a "merge" state on a multi-resolution partition tree of the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-30 Jacopo Soriano , Li Ma

To investigate interactions between parasite species in a host, a population of field voles was studied longitudinally, with presence or absence of six different parasites measured repeatedly. Although trapping sessions were regular, a…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-29 Chris Sherlock , Tatiana Xifara , Sandra Telfer , Mike Begon