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Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Anru Zhang , Mengdi Wang

Stochastic reaction network models arise in intracellular chemical reactions, epidemiological models and other population process models, and are a class of continuous time Markov chains which have the nonnegative integer lattice as state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

We propose an inferential approach for maximum likelihood estimation of the hidden Markov models for continuous responses. We extend to the case of longitudinal observations the finite mixture model of multivariate Gaussian distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Silvia Pandolfi , Francesco Bartolucci , Fulvia Pennoni

Determining the extent to which different cognitive modalities (understood here as the set of cognitive processes underlying the elaboration of a stimulus by the brain) rely on overlapping neural representations is a fundamental issue in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-14 Elena Kalinina , Fabian Pedregosa , Vittorio Iacovella , Emanuele Olivetti , Paolo Avesani

We consider the problem of estimating the maximum posterior probability (MAP) state sequence for a finite state and finite emission alphabet hidden Markov model (HMM) in the Bayesian setup, where both emission and transition matrices have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-20 Alexey Koloydenko , Kristi Kuljus , Jüri Lember

Markov chain geostatistics is a methodology for simulating categorical fields. Its fundamental model for conditional simulation is the Markov chain random field (MCRF) model, and its basic spatial correlation measure is the transiogram.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-20 Bo Zhang , Weidong Li , Chuanrong Zhang

We address the problem of analyzing sets of noisy time-varying signals that all report on the same process but confound straightforward analyses due to complex inter-signal heterogeneities and measurement artifacts. In particular we…

Under Markovian assumptions, we leverage a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for the empirical measure in the test statistic of the composite hypothesis Hoeffding test so as to establish weak convergence results for the test statistic, and,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Jing Zhang , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We develop a flexible spline-based Bayesian hidden Markov model stochastic weather generator to statistically model daily precipitation over time by season at individual locations. The model naturally accounts for missing data (considered…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Christopher J. Paciorek

High-dimensional data has become popular due to the easy accessibility of sensors in modern industrial applications. However, one specific challenge is that it is often not easy to obtain complete measurements due to limited sensing powers…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-26 Xinyu Zhao , Jiuyun Hu , Yajun Mei , Hao Yan

Data transmission rate in molecular communication systems can be improved by using multiple transmitters and receivers. In molecular multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems which use only single type of molecules, the performance at…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Nithin V. Sabu , Neeraj Varshney , Abhishek K. Gupta

Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects across many fields of science. Technology companies have adopted A/B-testing methods as a modern RCT counterpart, where end-users are randomly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Olivier Jeunen

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

Sufficient conditions are provided under which the log-likelihood ratio test statistic fails to have a limiting chi-squared distribution under the null hypothesis when testing between one and two components under a general two-component…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Matthew Fitzpatrick , Michael I. Stewart

We propose approaches for testing implementations of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods as well as of general Monte Carlo methods. Based on statistical hypothesis tests, these approaches can be used in a unit testing framework to, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Axel Gandy , James Scott

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

Identifying important features linked to a response variable is a fundamental task in various scientific domains. This article explores statistical inference for simulated Markov random fields in high-dimensional settings. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Haoyu Wei , Xiaoyu Lei , Yixin Han , Huiming Zhang

This study was sparked by an extensive longitudinal dataset focusing on HIV CD4 T$^+$ cell counts from Livingstone district, Zambia. Analysis of the corresponding histogram plots reveals an absence of symmetry in the marginal distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

We propose a copula-based extension of the hidden Markov model (HMM) which applies when the observations recorded at each time in the sample are multivariate. The joint model produced by the copula extension allows decoding of the hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Robert Zimmerman , Radu V. Craiu , Vianey Leos-Barajas

Multi-state capture-recapture data comprise individual-specific sighting histories together with information on individuals' states related, for example, to breeding status, infection level, or geographical location. Such data are often…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-16 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Ruth King , Nicola Quick
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