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This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Xun Li , Xun Yu Zhou

We propose to solve large scale Markowitz mean-variance (MV) portfolio allocation problem using reinforcement learning (RL). By adopting the recently developed continuous-time exploratory control framework, we formulate the exploratory MV…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-05 Haoran Wang

In this paper, using the shrinkage-based approach for portfolio weights and modern results from random matrix theory we construct an effective procedure for testing the efficiency of the expected utility (EU) portfolio and discuss the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Solomiia Dmytriv , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

We study the geometrical properties of the utility space (the space of expected utilities over a finite set of options), which is commonly used to model the preferences of an agent in a situation of uncertainty. We focus on the case where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-05 François Durand , Benoît Kloeckner , Fabien Mathieu , Ludovic Noirie

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference for a type of partially observed stochastic Volterra equation (SVE). SVEs are found in many areas such as physics and mathematical finance. In the latter field they can be used to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-20 Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat , Amin Wu

We consider a group of mean-variance investors with mimicking desire such that each investor is willing to penalize deviations of his portfolio composition from compositions of other group members. Penalizing norm constraints are already…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Vasyl Golosnoy , Nestor Parolya

In this note we analyze the relationship between the properties of von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions and expected utility functions. More precisely, we investigate which of the regularity and concavity assumptions usually imposed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Marina Pireddu

We investigate multi-period mean-risk portfolio optimization for long-horizon Defined Contribution plans, focusing on buffered Probability of Exceedance (bPoE), a more intuitive, dollar-based alternative to Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR).…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Duy-Minh Dang , Chang Chen

Mean-variance analysis is widely used in portfolio management to identify the best portfolio that makes an optimal trade-off between expected return and volatility. Yet, this method has its limitations, notably its vulnerability to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Kwong Yu Chong

We investigate financial markets under model risk caused by uncertain volatilities. For this purpose we consider a financial market that features volatility uncertainty. To have a mathematical consistent framework we use the notion of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-16 Joerg Vorbrink

On strictly starshaped domains of second kind we find natural sufficient conditions which allow the solution of two long standing open problems closely related to the mean field equation $\prl$ below. On one side we catch the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Daniele Bartolucci

Despite the prevalence of voting systems in the real world there is no consensus among researchers of how people vote strategically, even in simple voting settings. This paper addresses this gap by comparing different approaches that have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Prediction markets are long known for prediction accuracy. This study systematically explores the fundamental properties of prediction markets, addressing questions about their information aggregation process and the factors contributing to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Dian Yu , Jianjun Gao , Weiping Wu , Zizhuo Wang

This paper considers mean-variance optimization under uncertainty, specifically when one desires a sparsified set of optimal portfolio weights. From the standpoint of a Bayesian investor, our approach produces a small portfolio from many…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

We first study the properties of solutions of quadratic programs with linear equality constraints whose parameters are estimated from data in the high-dimensional setting where p, the number of variables in the problem, is of the same order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-14 Noureddine El Karoui

Bayesian deep learning plays an important role especially for its ability evaluating epistemic uncertainty (EU). Due to computational complexity issues, approximation methods such as variational inference (VI) have been used in practice to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata , Naonori Ueda , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

This paper introduces Experiential Matrix Theory (EMT), a general theory of growth, employment, and technological change for the age of artificial intelligence (AI). EMT redefines utility as the alignment between production and an evolving,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-27 Christian Callaghan

While investment funds publicly disclose their objectives in broad terms, their managers optimize for complex combinations of competing goals that go beyond simple risk-return trade-offs. Traditional approaches attempt to model this through…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-31 Maarten P. Scholl , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer

Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-04 Michael Braun , Jon McAuliffe

We consider the estimation of the multi-period optimal portfolio obtained by maximizing an exponential utility. Employing Jeffreys' non-informative prior and the conjugate informative prior, we derive stochastic representations for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid