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Portfolio selection problems that optimize expected utility are usually difficult to solve. If the number of assets in the portfolio is large, such expected utility maximization problems become even harder to solve numerically. Therefore,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Nuerxiati Abudurexiti , Erhan Bayraktar , Takaki Hayashi , Hasanjan Sayit

We investigate time-inconsistent portfolio problems under a broader class of monotone mean-variance (MMV) preferences. Since the optimal strategies for MMV and mean-variance (MV) preferences coincide, the MMV optimal strategies at different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Yike Wang , Yusha Chen , Jingzhen Liu

This paper discusses the sensitivity of the long-term expected utility of optimal portfolios for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. Under an incomplete market given by a factor model, we consider the utility maximization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Hyungbin Park , Stephan Sturm

This paper studies an optimal investment-reinsurance problem for an insurer (she) under the Cram\'er--Lundberg model with monotone mean--variance (MMV) criterion. At any time, the insurer can purchase reinsurance (or acquire new business)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-30 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

The thesis of this essay is that, in heterogeneous agent macroeconomics, the assumption of rational expectations about equilibrium prices is unrealistic and should be replaced. Rational expectations imply that decision makers forecast…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-29 Benjamin Moll

We consider monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selection problems with a conic convex constraint under diffusion models, and their counterpart problems under mean-variance (MV) preferences. We obtain the precommitted optimal strategies…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

The diversification quotient (DQ) is recently introduced for quantifying the degree of diversification of a stochastic portfolio model. It has an axiomatic foundation and can be defined through a parametric class of risk measures. Since the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-12 Xia Han , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

Utility based methods provide a very general theoretically consistent approach to pricing and hedging of securities in incomplete financial markets. Solving problems in the utility based framework typically involves dynamic programming,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 M. R. Grasselli , T. R. Hurd

We propose a variance-penalized formulation of Bayesian optimal experimental design for nonlinear models that augments the classical expected utility criterion with a penalty on utility variability, yielding a mean--variance objective that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

Data-driven decision making plays an important role even in high stakes settings like medicine and public policy. Learning optimal policies from observed data requires a careful formulation of the utility function whose expected value is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-29 Eli Ben-Michael , Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Muhammad Khan , Mazen Kebewar , Nikolay Nenovsky

Motivated by the Basel 3 regulations, recent studies have considered joint forecasts of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. A large family of scoring functions can be used to evaluate forecast performance in this context. However, little…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-15 Johanna F. Ziegel , Fabian Krüger , Alexander Jordan , Fernando Fasciati

We find the origin of the integration theory for multifunctions in the sixties in the pioneering works of G. Debreu and R. Aumann, Nobel prizes for the Economy in 1983 and in 2005, respectively. The Aumann integral is defined by means the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Luisa Di Piazza , Anna Rita Sambucini

This paper studies an optimal dividend problem for a company that aims to maximize the mean-variance (MV) objective of the accumulated discounted dividend payments up to its ruin time. The MV objective involves an integral form over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jingyi Cao , Dongchen Li , Virginia R. Young , Bin Zou

This paper considers two investors who perform mean-variance portfolio selection with asymmetric information: one knows the true stock dynamics, while the other has to infer the true dynamics from observed stock evolution. Their portfolio…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Yu-Jui Huang , Shihao Zhu

As a unified theory of sentient behaviour, active inference is formally intertwined with multiple normative theories of optimal behaviour. Specifically, we address what we call the subsumption thesis: The claim that expected utility from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-10 Noe Kuhn

We study a dynamic generalization of stochastic rationality in consumer behavior, the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM). Under DRUM, a consumer draws a utility function from a stochastic utility process and maximizes this utility subject…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-18 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar

The classical dynamic programming-based optimal stochastic control methods fail to cope with nonseparable dynamic optimization problems as the principle of optimality no longer applies in such situations. Among these notorious nonseparable…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-06 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Duan Li

I present an analytic method for estimating the errors in fitting a distribution. A well-known theorem from statistics gives the minimum variance bound (MVB) for the uncertainty in estimating a set of parameters $\l_i$, when a distribution…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-22 Andrew Gould

In modern portfolio theory, the balancing of expected returns on investments against uncertainties in those returns is aided by the use of utility functions. The Kelly criterion offers another approach, rooted in information theory, that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Ole Peters
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