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What, if anything, should a frequentist say about a single realized confidence interval (CI) and its chance of having covered the parameter? Jerzy Neyman's original answer was to refuse any nondegenerate probability for coverage ex post…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-06 Scott Lee

A new data-based smoothing parameter for circular kernel density (and its derivatives) estimation is proposed. Following the plug-in ideas, unknown quantities on an optimal smoothing parameter are replaced by suitable estimates. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-21 Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso

A fundamental open question in self-supervised learning (SSL) is the explicit characterization of the optimal geometry of the learned representations. Recently, LeJEPA identified isotropic Gaussian embeddings as optimal for minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Léo Nicollier , Max Dunitz , Marc Pic , Pablo Musé , Enric Meinhardt-Llopis , Gabriele Facciolo

This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation for the Ewens--Pitman partition with parameters $0<\alpha<1$ and $\theta>-\alpha$. Especially, we show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of $\alpha$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Takuya Koriyama , Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki

One simple, and often very effective, way to attenuate the impact of nuisance parameters on maximum likelihood estimation of a parameter of interest is to recenter the profile score for that parameter. We apply this general principle to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-19 Federico Martellosio , Grant Hillier

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

We discuss a new way of constructing pointwise confidence intervals for the distribution function in the current status model. The confidence intervals are based on the smoothed maximum likelihood estimator (SMLE) and constructed using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Piet Groeneboom , Kim Hendrickx

We investigate the problem of density estimation on the unit circle and the unit sphere from a computational perspective. Our primary goal is to develop new density estimators that are both rate-optimal and computationally efficient for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Athanasios G. Georgiadis , Andrew P. Percival

An old conjecture states that among all simplices inscribed in the unit sphere the regular one has the maximal mean width. An equivalent formulation is that for any centered Gaussian vector $(\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n)$ satisfying $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander E. Litvak , Dmitry Zaporozhets

This article discusses estimation of a multivariate normal mean based on heteroscedastic observations. Under heteroscedasticity, estimators shrinking more on the coordinates with larger variances, seem desirable. Although they are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Yuzo Maruyama , Lawrence D. Brown , Edward I. George

This work provides tight upper- and lower-bounds for the problem of mean estimation under $\epsilon$-differential privacy in the local model, when the input is composed of $n$ i.i.d. drawn samples from a normal distribution with variance…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Marco Gaboardi , Ryan Rogers , Or Sheffet

In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution supported by the $k$-dimensional probability simplex in the setting where an $\varepsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to adversarial corruption. A simple particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Amir-Hossein Bateni , Arnak S. Dalalyan

This paper considers the problem of estimating a high-dimensional vector of parameters $\boldsymbol{\theta} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ from a noisy observation. The noise vector is i.i.d. Gaussian with known variance. For a squared-error loss…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-19 K. Pavan Srinath , Ramji Venkataramanan

We propose confidence regions with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability of parameters whose Fisher information matrix can be singular at important points of the parameter set. Our work is motivated by the need for reliable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We introduce and analyse a new nonparametric estimator of a multi-dimensional density. Our smooth projection estimator (SPE) is defined by a least squares projection of the sample onto an infinite dimensional mixture class via an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Heather Battey , Han Liu

The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

For any given partial order in a $d$-dimensional euclidean space, under mild regularity assumptions, we show that the intersection of closed (generalized) intervals containing more than 1/2 of the probability mass, is a non-empty compact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Djordje Baljozovic , Milan Merkle

Often it is not easy to choose between estimators, based on the estimated MSE and bias using simulation studies. Normality in small samples and a variance of the estimator, which is correct and easy to calculate using a single sample, give…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100($1-\alpha)%$ HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman