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We revisit the game in which each of several players chooses a pattern and then a coin is flipped repeatedly until one of these patterns is generated. In particular, we demonstrate how to compute the probability of any one player winning…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Jan Vrbik , Paul Vrbik

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Bar Light

We study the accurate and efficient computation of the expected number of times each state is visited in discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. To obtain sound accuracy guarantees efficiently, we lift interval iteration and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Hannah Mertens , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Tobias Winkler

A well-studied randomized election algorithm proceeds as follows: In each round the remaining candidates each toss a coin and leave the competition if they obtain heads. Of interest is the number of rounds required and the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Rudolf Grübel , Klaas Hagemann

The prediction of both the existence and weight of network links at future time points is essential as complex networks evolve over time. Traditional methods, such as vector autoregression and factor models, have been applied to small,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Shu Takahashi , Kento Yamamoto , Shumpei Kobayashi , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

This paper studies the trade-off between two different kinds of pure exploration: breadth versus depth. The most biased coin problem asks how many total coin flips are required to identify a "heavy" coin from an infinite bag containing both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Kevin Jamieson , Daniel Haas , Ben Recht

We develop a novel mathematical programming approximation framework to tackle the stochastic knapsack problem. In this problem, the decision maker considers items for which either weights or values, or both, are random. The aim is to select…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Roberto Rossi , Steven D. Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

We consider the problem of characterising expected hitting times and hitting probabilities for imprecise Markov chains. To this end, we consider three distinct ways in which imprecise Markov chains have been defined in the literature: as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Thomas Krak , Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We develop a Markov model of curling matches, parametrised by the probability of winning an end and the probability distribution of scoring ends. In practical applications, these end-winning probabilities can be estimated econometrically,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-06 John Fry , Mark Austin , Silvio Fanzon

In this work we present a detailed analysis using the Markov chain theory of some versions of the truel game in which three players try to eliminate each other in a series of one-to-one competitions, using the rules of the game. Besides…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 R. Toral , P. Amengual

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Finding a counterfeit coin with the different weight from a set of visually identical coin using a balance, usually a two-armed balance, known as the balance question, is an intersting and inspiring question. Its variants involve…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Fangqi Li

The problem of optimal allocation of monitoring resources for tracking transactions progressing through a distributed system, modeled as a queueing network, is considered. Two forms of monitoring information are considered, viz., locally…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-01-13 Animashree Anandkumar , Ting He , Chatschik Bisdikian , Dakshi Agrawal

Assume that letters (from a finite alphabet) in a text form a Markov chain. We track two distinct words, $U$ and $D$. A gambler gains 1 point for each occurrence of $U$ (including overlapping occurrences) and loses 1 point for each…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Markov logic uses weighted formulas to compactly encode a probability distribution over possible worlds. Despite the use of logical formulas, Markov logic networks (MLNs) can be difficult to interpret, due to the often counter-intuitive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Ondrej Kuzelka , Jesse Davis , Steven Schockaert

Quantum walks can reconstruct quantum algorithms for quantum computation, where the precise controls of quantum state transfers between arbitrary distant sites are required. Here, we investigate quantum walks using a periodically…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-06 Haruna Katayama , Noriyuki Hatakenaka , Toshiyuki Fujii

The steadily high demand for cash contributes to the expansion of the network of Bank payment terminals. To optimize the amount of cash in payment terminals, it is necessary to minimize the cost of servicing them and ensure that there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 G. A. Nigmatulin , O. B. Chaganova

In high performance computing, scheduling of tasks and allocation to machines is very critical especially when we are dealing with heterogeneous execution costs. Simulations can be performed with a large variety of environments and…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-03-23 Louis-Claude Canon , Mohamad El Sayah , Pierre-Cyrille Héam

Predicting invoice payment is valuable in multiple industries and supports decision-making processes in most financial workflows. However, the challenge in this realm involves dealing with complex data and the lack of data related to…

The effective usages of computational resources are a primary concern of up-to-date distributed applications. In this paper, we present a methodology to reason about resource usages (acquisition, release, revision, ...), and therefore the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-08-02 Chiara Bodei , Viet Dung Dinh , Gian Luigi Ferrari
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