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We prove a Russo-Seymour-Welsch percolation theorem for nodal domains and nodal lines associated to a natural infinite dimensional space of real analytic functions on the real plane. More precisely, let $U$ be a smooth connected bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Vincent Beffara , Damien Gayet

A fundamental tool in network information theory is the covering lemma, which lower bounds the probability that there exists a pair of random variables, among a give number of independently generated candidates, falling within a given set.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Jingbo Liu , Mohammad H. Yassaee , Sergio Verdú

We give, as $L$ grows to infinity, an explicit lower bound of order $L^{n/m}$ for the expected Betti numbers of the vanishing locus of a random linear combination of eigenvectors of $P$ with eigenvalues below $L$. Here, $P$ denotes an…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Damien Gayet , Jean-Yves Welschinger

An exact upper bound on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a symmetric random variable in terms of its second moment is given. Such results are used in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

We consider uniform random permutations in classes having a finite combinatorial specification for the substitution decomposition. These classes include (but are not limited to) all permutation classes with a finite number of simple…

We consider Bernoulli bond percolation on a large scale-free tree in the supercritical regime, meaning informally that there exists a giant cluster with high probability. We obtain a weak limit theorem for the sizes of the next largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-04 Jean Bertoin , Geronimo Uribe Bravo

This paper considers the difference of stop-loss payoffs where the underlying is a difference of two random variables. The goal is to study whether the comonotonic and countermonotonic modifications of those two random variables can be used…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Hamza Hanbali , Jan Dhaene , Daniel Linders

This short note shows a limiting behavior of integrals of some centered antipersistent stationary infinitely divisible moving averages as the compact integration domain in $d\ge 1$ dimensions extends to the whole positive quadrant…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Evgeny Spodarev

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

Let $\lambda$ denote the Liouville function. We show that, as $X \rightarrow \infty$, $$\int_{X}^{2X} \sup_{\substack{P(Y)\in \mathbb{R}[Y]\\ deg(P)\leq k}} \Big | \sum_{x \leq n \leq x + H} \lambda(n) e(-P(n)) \Big |\ dx = o ( X H)$$ for…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Kaisa Matomäki , Maksym Radziwiłł , Terence Tao , Joni Teräväinen , Tamar Ziegler

The random percolation model can be viewed as the dual of a well defined confining gauge theory; since this theory, having no Monte Carlo dynamics at all, is simple to simulate, it is possible to study the properties of the flux tube with…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-04-14 Pietro Giudice , Ferdinando Gliozzi , Stefano Lottini

Sampling bias is a foundational concept in statistics; associated bias transforms, such as size bias, have come to play important roles in probability theory of late. The first author and G. Reinert introduced zero bias, a transform whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Larry Goldstein , Todd Kemp

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be $d$-dimensional independent random vectors bounded with probability one. For simplicity, we assume that they have zero mean values: \begin{equation} \mathbf{P}\{\|X_{j}\|\le\tau\}=1,\quad\mathbf{E}\,X_{j}=0,\quad…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We introduce new method for generating correlated or uncorrelated Bernoulli random variables by using the binary expansion of a continuous random variable with support on the unit interval. We show that when this variable has a symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Francisco Marcos de Assis , Juliana Martins de Assis , Micael Andrade Dias

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

A concentration of measure result is proved for the number of isolated vertices $Y$ in the Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph model on $n$ edges with edge probability $p$. When $\mu$ and $\sigma^2$ denote the mean and variance of $Y$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-02 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein , Martin Raic

The Dvoretzky--Kiefer--Wolfowitz--Massart inequality gives a sub-Gaussian tail bound on the supremum norm distance between the empirical distribution function of a random sample and its population counterpart. We provide a short proof of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Henry W J Reeve

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

For independent $X$ and $Y$ in the inequality $P(X\leq Y+\mu)$, we give sharp lower bounds for unimodal distributions having finite variance, and sharp upper bounds assuming symmetric densities bounded by a finite constant. The lower bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Eric Clarkson , J. L. Denny , Larry Shepp