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We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko

We discuss unbiased estimation equations in a class of objective function using a monotonically increasing function $f$ and Bregman divergence. The choice of the function $f$ gives desirable properties such as robustness against outliers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Masahiro Kobayashi , Kazuho Watanabe

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Let F be a separable uniformly bounded family of measurable functions on a standard measurable space, and let N_{[]}(F,\epsilon,\mu) be the smallest number of \epsilon-brackets in L^1(\mu) needed to cover F. The following are equivalent: 1.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Ramon van Handel

We present new concentration of measure inequalities for Markov chains, generalising results for chains that are contracting in Wasserstein distance. These are particularly suited to establishing the cut-off phenomenon for suitable chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

To any positive contraction $Q$ on $\ell^2(W)$, there is associated a determinantal probability measure ${\mathbf P}^Q$ on $2^W$, where $W$ is a denumerable set. Let $\Gamma$ be a countable sofic finitely generated group and $G = (\Gamma,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Russell Lyons , Andreas Thom

We study the problem of bounding the posterior distribution of discrete probabilistic programs with unbounded support, loops, and conditioning. Loops pose the main difficulty in this setting: even if exact Bayesian inference is possible,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Fabian Zaiser , Andrzej S. Murawski , C. -H. Luke Ong

In this paper, we obtain uniform and non-uniform bounds on the Kolmogorov distance in the normal approximation for Jack deformations of the character ratio, by using Stein's method and zero-bias couplings. Our uniform bound comes very close…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Louis H. Y. Chen , Martin Raič , Lê Văn Thành

We give a simple proof of a well-known theorem of G\'al and of the recent related results of Aistleitner, Berkes and Seip [1] regarding the size of GCD sums. In fact, our method obtains the asymptotically sharp constant in G\'al's theorem,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Mark Lewko , Maksym Radziwill

We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-30 S. I. Denisov , S. B. Yuste , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz , K. Lindenberg

Beurling slow variation is generalized to Beurling regular variation. A Uniform Convergence Theorem, not previously known, is proved for those functions of this class that are measurable or have the Baire property. This permits their…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-07-22 N. H. Bingham , A. J. Ostaszewski

We give a distribution-dependent concentration inequality for functions of independent variables. The result extends Bernstein's inequality from sums to more general functions, whose variation in any argument does not depend too much on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Andreas Maurer

This paper generalizes the results of [13] and then provides an interesting example. We construct a family of $W$-like maps $\{W_a\}$ with a turning fixed point having slope $s_1$ on one side and $-s_2$ on the other. Each $W_a$ has an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Zhenyang Li

We consider a $p$-dimensional, centered normal population such that all variables have a positive variance $\sigma^2$ and any correlation coefficient between different variables is a given nonnegative constant $\rho<1$. Suppose that both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Yohji Akama , Atina Husnaqilati

Standard uniform convergence results bound the generalization gap of the expected loss over a hypothesis class. The emergence of risk-sensitive learning requires generalization guarantees for functionals of the loss distribution beyond the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Liu Leqi , Audrey Huang , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

Sample measures of top centile contributions to the total (concentration) are downward biased, unstable estimators, extremely sensitive to sample size and concave in accounting for large deviations. It makes them particularly unfit in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-05 Nassim N Taleb , Raphael Douady

A bound for functional $\Delta(F)=\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|F(x)-\Phi(x)|$ is obtained, which is uniform for all distribution functions $F$ of random variables with zero mean-value and unity variance. Moreover, a two-point distribution is found,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 V. I. Chebotarev , A. S. Kondrik , K. V. Mikhaylov

The zero bias distribution $W^*$ of $W$, defined though the characterizing equation $\mathit{EW}f(W)=\sigma^2Ef'(W^*)$ for all smooth functions $f$, exists for all $W$ with mean zero and finite variance $\sigma^2$. For $W$ and $W^*$ defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Larry Goldstein

The Generalized Central Limit Theorem is a remarkable generalization of the Central Limit Theorem, showing that the sum of a large number of independent, identically-distributed (i.i.d) random variables with infinite variance may converge…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-19 Ariel Amir

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas
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