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Let $\lambda$ be the second largest eigenvalue in absolute value of a uniform random $d$-regular graph on $n$ vertices. It was famously conjectured by Alon and proved by Friedman that if $d$ is fixed independent of $n$, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Nicholas A. Cook , Larry Goldstein , Tobias Johnson

Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-20 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

The tails of the distribution of a mean zero, variance $\sigma^2$ random variable $Y$ satisfy concentration of measure inequalities of the form $\mathbb{P}(Y \ge t) \le \exp(-B(t))$ for $$ B(t)=\frac{t^2}{2( \sigma^2 + ct)} \quad \mbox{for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-26 Larry Goldstein , Umit Islak

Using coupling techniques based on Stein's method for probability approximation, we revisit classical variance bounding inequalities of Chernoff, Cacoullos, Chen and Klaassen. Taking advantage of modern coupling techniques allows us to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Fraser Daly , Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

In this paper, we establish a coupling lemma for standard families in the setting of piecewise expanding interval maps with countably many branches. Our method merely requires that the expanding map satisfies Chernov's one-step expansion at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-31 Jianyu Chen , Hongkun Zhang , Yiwei Zhang

We study the almost surely finite random variable $S$ defined by the distributional fixed-point equation \[ S \stackrel{d}{=} 1 + \max\{US', (1-U)S''\}, \qquad U \sim \mathrm{Unif}(0,1), \] where $S'$ and $S''$ are independent copies of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Witold Płecha

We prove several new results on the Hamming weight of bounded uniform and small-bias distributions. We exhibit bounded-uniform distributions whose weight is anti-concentrated, matching existing concentration inequalities. This construction…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Harm Derksen , Peter Ivanov , Chin Ho Lee , Emanuele Viola

Generalized gamma distributions arise as limits in many settings involving random graphs, walks, trees, and branching processes. Pek\"oz, R\"ollin, and Ross (2016, arXiv:1309.4183 [math.PR]) exploited characterizing distributional fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Tobias Johnson , Erol Peköz

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

A sharp, distribution free, non-asymptotic result is proved for the concentration of a random function around the mean function, when the randomization is generated by a finite sequence of independent data and the random functions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Thomas Anton , Sutanuka Roy , Rabee Tourky

Let $Y=X_1+\cdots+X_N$ be a sum of a random number of exchangeable random variables, where the random variable $N$ is independent of the $X_j$, and the $X_j$ are from the generalized multinomial model introduced by Tallis (1962). This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We study the sharp bounds of $\mathbb{E}[X_1\cdots X_d]$ when the univariate marginal distributions are known, but the dependence structure between them is unspecified. Maximizing products over non-negative variables is straightforward via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jinghui Chen

The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Quirin Vogel

We prove generalised concentration inequalities for a class of scaled self-bounding functions of independent random variables, referred to as ${(M,a,b)}$ self-bounding. The scaling refers to the fact that the component-wise difference is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 George Crowley , Iñaki Esnaola

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

In a recent study of certain merging-splitting models of animal-group size (Degond et al., J. Nonl. Sci. 27 (2017) 379), it was shown that an initial size distribution with infinite first moment leads to convergence to zero in weak sense,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Jian-Guo Liu , Barbara Niethammer , Robert L. Pego

In this work we present concentration inequalities for the sum $S_n$ of independent integer-valued not necessary indentically distributed random variables, where each variable has tail function that can be bounded by some power function…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Oleksii Omelchenko , Andrei A. Bulatov
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