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Related papers: On the Predictability of Future Impact in Science

200 papers

Rapid and efficient assessment of the future impact of research articles is a significant concern for both authors and reviewers. The most common standard for measuring the impact of academic papers is the number of citations. In recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Qichen Sun , Yuxing Lu , Kun Xia , Li Chen , He Sun , Jinzhuo Wang

Regression has attracted immense interest lately due to its effectiveness in tasks like predicting values. And Regression is of widespread use in multiple fields such as Economics, Finance, Business, Biology and so on. While considerable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Yunpeng Tai

Advances in machine learning have impacted myriad areas of materials science, ranging from the discovery of novel materials to the improvement of molecular simulations, with likely many more important developments to come. Given the rapid…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-06-26 Dane Morgan , Ryan Jacobs

Recent "science of science" research shows that scientific impact measures for journals and individual articles have quantifiable regularities across both time and discipline. However, little is known about the scientific impact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-06 Alexander M. Petersen , H. Eugene Stanley , Sauro Succi

While computer modeling and simulation are crucial for understanding scientometrics, their practical use in literature remains somewhat limited. In this study, we establish a joint coauthorship and citation network using preferential…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Haobai Xue

In recent years, several Scientometrics and Bibliometrics indicators were proposed to evaluate the scientific impact of individuals, institutions, colleges, universities and research teams. The h-index gives a major breakthrough in the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Anand Bihari , Sudhakar Tripathi , Akshay Deepak

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

It is important to explore how scientists decide their research agenda and the corresponding consequences, as their decisions collectively shape contemporary science. There are studies focusing on the overall performance of individuals with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-15 Xiaoyao Yu , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Tao Jia

Prediction models are popular in medical research and practice. By predicting an outcome of interest for specific patients, these models may help inform difficult treatment decisions, and are often hailed as the poster children for…

The h-index can be used as a predictor of itself. However, the evolution of the h-index with time is shown in the present investigation to be dominated for several years by citations to previous publications rather than by new scientific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-19 Michael Schreiber

In this work we ask whether and to what extent applying a predictor of publications' impact better than early citations, has an effect on the assessment of research performance of individual scientists. Specifically, we measure the total…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Giovanni Abramo , Ciriaco Andrea D'Angelo , Giovanni Felici

Author impact evaluation and prediction play a key role in determining rewards, funding, and promotion. In this paper, we first introduce the background of author impact evaluation and prediction. Then, we review recent developments of…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Fuli Zhang , Xiaomei Bai , Ivan Lee

Understanding how institutional changes within academia may affect the overall potential of science requires a better quantitative representation of how careers evolve over time. Since knowledge spillovers, cumulative advantage,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-04 Alexander M. Petersen , Massimo Riccaboni , H. Eugene Stanley , Fabio Pammolli

This systematic literature review aims to investigate the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the labour force in software engineering, with a particular focus on the skills needed for future software engineers, the impact of AI on…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Sabina-Cristiana Necula

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

Predictive models are one of the most important techniques that are widely applied in many areas of software engineering. There have been a large number of primary studies that apply predictive models and that present well-preformed studies…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yanming Yang , Xin Xia , David Lo , Tingting Bi , John Grundy , Xiaohu Yang

Metrics based on reference lists of research articles or on keywords have been used to predict citation impact. The concept behind such metrics is that original ideas stem from the reconfiguration of the structure of past knowledge, and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Attila Varga

In educational technology and learning sciences, there are multiple uses for a predictive model of whether a student will perform a task correctly or not. For example, an intelligent tutoring system may use such a model to estimate whether…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-13 April Galyardt , Ilya Goldin

With the growing number of published scientific papers world-wide, the need to evaluation and quality assessment methods for research papers is increasing. Scientific fields such as scientometrics, informetrics and bibliometrics establish…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Ali Abrishami , Sadegh Aliakbary

Most researchers acknowledge an intrinsic hierarchy in the scholarly journals ('journal rank') that they submit their work to, and adjust not only their submission but also their reading strategies accordingly. On the other hand, much has…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-05-13 Björn Brembs , Marcus Munafò