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Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Estimating phylogenetic trees is an important problem in evolutionary biology, environmental policy and medicine. Although trees are estimated, their uncertainties are discarded by mathematicians working in tree space. Here we explicitly…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 Amy D. Willis , Rayna C. Bell

Each gene has its own evolutionary history which can substantially differ from the evolutionary histories of other genes. For example, some individual genes or operons can be affected by specific horizontal gene transfer and recombination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Nadia Tahiri , Bernard Fichet , Vladimir Makarenkov

The geometric median as well as the Frechet mean of points in an Hadamard space are important in both theory and applications. Surprisingly, no algorithms for their computation are hitherto known. To address this issue, we use a split…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2014-06-26 Miroslav Bacak

Phylogenetic trees (i.e. evolutionary trees, additive trees or X-trees) play a key role in the processes of modeling and representing species evolution. Genome evolution of a given group of species is usually modeled by a species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-03 Vladimir Makarenkov , Gayane S. Barseghyan , Nadia Tahiri

We analyse a maximum-likelihood approach for combining phylogenetic trees into a larger `supertree'. This is based on a simple exponential model of phylogenetic error, which ensures that ML supertrees have a simple combinatorial description…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-17 Mike Steel , Allen Rodrigo

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

We propose a new space of phylogenetic trees which we call wald space. The motivation is to develop a space suitable for statistical analysis of phylogenies, but with a geometry based on more biologically principled assumptions than…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Maryam K. Garba , Tom M. W. Nye , Jonas Lueg , Stephan F. Huckemann

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang

Decision Trees are some of the most popular machine learning models today due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. Often, Decision Trees models are constructed greedily in a top-down fashion via heuristic search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Colin Sullivan , Mo Tiwari , Sebastian Thrun , Chris Piech

Phylogenetic trees summarize evolutionary relationships between organisms, and tools to analyze collections of phylogenetic trees enable contrasts between different genes' ancestry. The BHV metric space has enabled the analysis of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-24 Maria Alejandra Valdez Cabrera , Amy D Willis

Topological phylogenetic trees can be assigned edge weights in several natural ways, highlighting different aspects of the tree. Here the rooted triple and quartet metrizations are introduced, and applied to formulate novel fast methods of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-15 John A. Rhodes

In a recent study, Bryant, Francis and Steel investigated the concept of \enquote{future-proofing} consensus methods in phylogenetics. That is, they investigated if such methods can be robust against the introduction of additional data like…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Mareike Fischer , Michael Hendriksen

Phylogenetic networks represent evolutionary history of species and can record natural reticulate evolutionary processes such as horizontal gene transfer and gene recombination. This makes phylogenetic networks a more comprehensive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Remie Janssen , Pengyu Liu

Change-plane regression identifies subpopulations through an interpretable linear threshold rule, but likelihood-based inference for the hard-threshold boundary is nonregular: objectives are non-smooth, the boundary is weakly identified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Statistically consistent estimation of phylogenetic trees or gene trees is possible if pairwise sequence dissimilarities can be converted to a set of distances that are proportional to the true evolutionary distances. Susko et al. (2004)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-28 Emily Jane McTavish , Mike Steel , Mark T. Holder

The statistical estimation of phylogenies is always associated with uncertainty, and accommodating this uncertainty is an important component of modern phylogenetic comparative analysis. The birth-death polytomy resolver is a method of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

Recent advances have allowed for both morphological fossil evidence and molecular sequences to be integrated into a single combined inference of divergence dates under the rule of Bayesian probability. In particular the fossilized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-04 Alexei J. Drummond , Tanja Stadler

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

We provide a geometric interpretation to Bayesian inference that allows us to introduce a natural measure of the level of agreement between priors, likelihoods, and posteriors. The starting point for the construction of our geometry is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-24 Miguel de Carvalho , Garritt L. Page , Bradley J. Barney
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